Titouan Droguet vs Nicolas Jarry
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Titouan Droguet
Titouan …: 63,3% Nicolas …: 36,7%
¿Por qué Titouan Droguet?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,79 (-0,60) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Titouan … Nicolas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,00 1,82 50,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,58 2,73 63,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Titouan …: +21,0% Nicolas …: -21,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #155
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #162
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Nicolas Jarry
Ranking #133
UTR Rating 14,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #111
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 2/8 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -19,0000
rank_ratio 0,8750
log_rank_ratio -0,1335
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -47,0000
best_rank_diff -114,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 31,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0070
surface_matches_ratio 3,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6667
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8824
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,5455
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,7033
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,8640
first_serve_won_diff 2,6667
second_serve_won_diff 0,9533
bp_saved_diff -12,0467
bp_converted_diff 20,8867
aces_per_match_diff -2,2417
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,9450
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 67,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 103,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8202
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,1997
serve_consistency_p2 4,6894
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,2285
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0857
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2690
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6000
utr_p1 0,7635
utr_p2 0,8341
utr_advantage -4,0568
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22609
API ID 15345405
Gamdom ID 589648
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22609,
    "api_id": 15345405,
    "gamdom_id": 589648,
    "player1": "Titouan Droguet",
    "player2": "Nicolas Jarry",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.82
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.89,
      "p2": 1.85
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6333,
    "prob_p2": 0.3667,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6333,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 155,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 162,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 133,
      "utr_singles": 14.79,
      "utr_ranking": 111,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 162,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.79,
      "ranking": 111,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.8341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": -47,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.046666666666674,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.056795131845839,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -114,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
    "rank_advantage": -19,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 31.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": 20.886666666666663,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.86399999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8202247191011236,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.241666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7033333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.6666666666666714,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.199733322782986,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.689394479428731,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.228494099776549,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.9533333333333331,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.945000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 103,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08566666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.269,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.006951871657758,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}