Titouan Droguet vs Nicolas Jarry
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Titouan Droguet
Titouan …: 63,3%
Nicolas …: 36,7%
¿Por qué Titouan Droguet?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,79
(-0,60)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Titouan … | Nicolas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,00 | 1,82 | 50,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,58 | 2,73 | 63,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Titouan …: +21,0%
Nicolas …: -21,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Titouan Droguet
Ranking
#155
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#162
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Nicolas Jarry
Ranking
#133
UTR Rating
14,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#111
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
2/8 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -47,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -114,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 31,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0070 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7033 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,8640 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,6667 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9533 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,0467 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 20,8867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,2417 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,9450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 67,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 103,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8202 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,1997 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6894 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,2285 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0857 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2690 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,0568 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22609
API ID
15345405
Gamdom ID
589648
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22609,
"api_id": 15345405,
"gamdom_id": 589648,
"player1": "Titouan Droguet",
"player2": "Nicolas Jarry",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.82
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.89,
"p2": 1.85
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6333,
"prob_p2": 0.3667,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6333,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 155,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 162,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 133,
"utr_singles": 14.79,
"utr_ranking": 111,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.53,
"ranking": 162,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.79,
"ranking": 111,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.875,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": -47,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.046666666666674,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": -4.056795131845839,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -114,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
"rank_advantage": -19,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 31.666666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": 20.886666666666663,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.86399999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8202247191011236,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.241666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7033333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.6666666666666714,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.199733322782986,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.689394479428731,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.228494099776549,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9533333333333331,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.945000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 103,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08566666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.269,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.006951871657758,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}