Yoshihito Nishioka vs Nerman Fatic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yoshihito Nishioka
Yoshihito …: 66,9% Nerman …: 33,1%
¿Por qué Yoshihito Nishioka?
UTR 14,71 vs 14,37 (+0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yoshihito … Nerman … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,21 4,50 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,49 3,02 66,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Yoshihito …: -4,0% Nerman …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yoshihito Nishioka
Ranking #115
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #127
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Nerman Fatic
Ranking #223
UTR Rating 14,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #213
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 106,0000
rank_ratio 1,9138
log_rank_ratio 0,6491
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 274,0000
best_rank_diff 167,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,8824
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,1816
surface_matches_ratio 5,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,8824
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,2632
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,0000
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1176
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,9119
first_serve_won_diff -2,0088
second_serve_won_diff 5,3412
bp_saved_diff -2,0294
bp_converted_diff 5,7324
aces_per_match_diff -5,7549
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 38,6000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 61,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 69,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8788
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0959
serve_consistency_p2 7,5039
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,8182
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0472
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1060
elite_surface_amplifier 5,8824
UTR
utr_diff 0,3400
utr_p1 0,7929
utr_p2 0,7529
utr_advantage 2,3336
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22610
API ID 15345370
Gamdom ID 589645
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22610,
    "api_id": 15345370,
    "gamdom_id": 589645,
    "player1": "Yoshihito Nishioka",
    "player2": "Nerman Fatic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6693,
    "prob_p2": 0.3307,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6693,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 115,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 223,
      "utr_singles": 14.37,
      "utr_ranking": 213,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.37,
      "ranking": 213,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7929411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.7529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9137931034482758,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 274,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.029411764705877,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.333562113932737,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 167,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6490871907659148,
    "rank_advantage": 106,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.882352941176471,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.732352941176472,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.911862745098041,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8787878787878788,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.754901960784313,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.008823529411771,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.095932792603343,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.503895079612001,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.818159945681852,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.341176470588245,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 38.6,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.882352941176471,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.047176470588235264,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10599999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.1815789473684262,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}