Yoshihito Nishioka vs Nerman Fatic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yoshihito Nishioka
Yoshihito …: 66,9%
Nerman …: 33,1%
¿Por qué Yoshihito Nishioka?
UTR 14,71 vs 14,37
(+0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yoshihito … | Nerman … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,50 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,49 | 3,02 | 66,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yoshihito …: -4,0%
Nerman …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yoshihito Nishioka
Ranking
#115
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Nerman Fatic
Ranking
#223
UTR Rating
14,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#213
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 106,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9138 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6491 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 274,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 167,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,8824 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,1816 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,2632 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1176 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,9119 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0088 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,3412 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,0294 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,7324 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,7549 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 38,6000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 61,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 69,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8788 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0959 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5039 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,8182 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0472 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1060 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,8824 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7529 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3336 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22610
API ID
15345370
Gamdom ID
589645
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22610,
"api_id": 15345370,
"gamdom_id": 589645,
"player1": "Yoshihito Nishioka",
"player2": "Nerman Fatic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6693,
"prob_p2": 0.3307,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6693,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 115,
"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 223,
"utr_singles": 14.37,
"utr_ranking": 213,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.71,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.37,
"ranking": 213,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7929411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.7529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.9137931034482758,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 274,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.029411764705877,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.333562113932737,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 167,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6490871907659148,
"rank_advantage": 106,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.882352941176471,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.732352941176472,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.911862745098041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8787878787878788,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.754901960784313,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.008823529411771,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.095932792603343,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.503895079612001,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.818159945681852,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.341176470588245,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 38.6,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.882352941176471,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.047176470588235264,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10599999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.1815789473684262,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}