Arthur Fery vs Edward Winter
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:35
12 Ene 2026, 04:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fery
Arthur …: 65,6%
Edward …: 34,4%
¿Por qué Arthur Fery?
UTR 14,71 vs 14,11
(+0,61)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Edward … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 3,60 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,90 | 65,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Arthur …: -5,4%
Edward …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Fery
Ranking
#186
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
20/28 = 71,4%
Edward Winter
Ranking
#498
UTR Rating
14,11 General
UTR Ranking
#347
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
14/22 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 309,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6703 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9822 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 226,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 269,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,7922 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,0096 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2727 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,6364 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,5385 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,6951 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,4182 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1610 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5312 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13,2032 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,6688 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 44,5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 79,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 369,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5179 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,6533 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0947 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4454 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7,7922 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7212 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,2258 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22611
API ID
15345404
Gamdom ID
589649
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22611,
"api_id": 15345404,
"gamdom_id": 589649,
"player1": "Arthur Fery",
"player2": "Edward Winter",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6555,
"prob_p2": 0.3445,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6555,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 186,
"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 498,
"utr_singles": 14.11,
"utr_ranking": 347,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 347,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7211764705882354,
"utr_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 2.67027027027027,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 226,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.531168831168827,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.63636363636363,
"utr_advantage": 4.225839972289569,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 269,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9821796921095977,
"rank_advantage": 309,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.7922077922077975,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.203246753246749,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.695064935064934,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.668831168831169,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.4181818181818215,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.517888488319939,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.653348250204663,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.53846153846154,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1610389610389618,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2727272727272727,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 44.53,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.7922077922077975,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 79,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 369,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09471428571428564,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4453636363636363,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.009615384615383,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}