Arthur Fery vs Edward Winter
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fery
Arthur …: 65,6% Edward …: 34,4%
¿Por qué Arthur Fery?
UTR 14,71 vs 14,11 (+0,61) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Edward … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,29 3,60 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,90 65,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: -5,4% Edward …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Fery
Ranking #186
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 20/28 = 71,4%
Edward Winter
Ranking #498
UTR Rating 14,11 General
UTR Ranking #347
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 14/22 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 309,0000
rank_ratio 2,6703
log_rank_ratio 0,9822
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 226,0000
best_rank_diff 269,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,7922
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,0096
surface_matches_ratio 1,2727
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,4286
surface_wr_p2 63,6364
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,5385
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,6951
first_serve_won_diff 1,4182
second_serve_won_diff 2,1610
bp_saved_diff -2,5312
bp_converted_diff 13,2032
aces_per_match_diff 2,6688
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 44,5300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 79,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 369,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,5179
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,6533
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0947
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4454
elite_surface_amplifier 7,7922
UTR
utr_diff 0,6100
utr_p1 0,7929
utr_p2 0,7212
utr_advantage 4,2258
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22611
API ID 15345404
Gamdom ID 589649
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22611,
    "api_id": 15345404,
    "gamdom_id": 589649,
    "player1": "Arthur Fery",
    "player2": "Edward Winter",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6555,
    "prob_p2": 0.3445,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6555,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 186,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 498,
      "utr_singles": 14.11,
      "utr_ranking": 347,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.11,
      "ranking": 347,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7929411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.7211764705882354,
    "utr_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 2.67027027027027,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 226,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.531168831168827,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 60.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.63636363636363,
    "utr_advantage": 4.225839972289569,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 269,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9821796921095977,
    "rank_advantage": 309,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.7922077922077975,
    "bp_converted_diff": 13.203246753246749,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.695064935064934,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.668831168831169,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.4181818181818215,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.517888488319939,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.653348250204663,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.1610389610389618,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2727272727272727,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 44.53,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 7.7922077922077975,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 79,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 369,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09471428571428564,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4453636363636363,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.009615384615383,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}