Brandon Holt vs Lukas Neumayer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Holt
Brandon …: 74,7% Lukas …: 25,3%
¿Por qué Brandon Holt?
UTR 14,36 vs 14,36 (-0,02) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Brandon … Lukas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,72 2,13 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,95 74,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Brandon …: +13,9% Lukas …: -13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Holt
Ranking #109
UTR Rating 14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #220
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 37/58 = 63,8%
Lukas Neumayer
Ranking #226
UTR Rating 14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #213
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 3/11 = 27,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 121,0000
rank_ratio 2,1101
log_rank_ratio 0,7467
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 307,0000
best_rank_diff 58,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 36,5204
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 21,3889
surface_matches_ratio 5,2727
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,7931
surface_wr_p2 27,2727
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,9032
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 58,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2759
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,7233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,7021
first_serve_won_diff 1,0050
second_serve_won_diff -0,3169
bp_saved_diff -0,6787
bp_converted_diff -11,8063
aces_per_match_diff 1,1473
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,6840
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 68,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3953
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 2,9486
serve_consistency_p2 6,5380
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 27,2709
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0169
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1063
elite_surface_amplifier 36,5204
UTR
utr_diff -0,0200
utr_p1 0,7459
utr_p2 0,7482
utr_advantage -0,1394
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22612
API ID 15345367
Gamdom ID 589680
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22612,
    "api_id": 15345367,
    "gamdom_id": 589680,
    "player1": "Brandon Holt",
    "player2": "Lukas Neumayer",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.06
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7471,
    "prob_p2": 0.2529,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7471,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 109,
      "utr_singles": 14.36,
      "utr_ranking": 220,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.793103448275865,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 58,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 226,
      "utr_singles": 14.36,
      "utr_ranking": 213,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.36,
      "ranking": 220,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.36,
      "ranking": 213,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
    "rank_ratio": 2.110091743119266,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 307,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.6786833855799443,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.793103448275865,
    "surface_wr_p2": 27.27272727272727,
    "utr_advantage": -0.1393728222996486,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 58,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7467314266940516,
    "rank_advantage": 121,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 36.52037617554859,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.806269592476482,
    "p1_surface_matches": 58,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.702100313479626,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3953488372093023,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1473354231974922,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.005015673981191,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.27586206896551724,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.9486125390541225,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.537955069843896,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 27.27091260497085,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.903225806451616,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3169278996865259,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.2727272727272725,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.683999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 36.52037617554859,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 68,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.016931034482758678,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1062727272727273,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.388888888888896,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}