Brandon Holt vs Lukas Neumayer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:25
12 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Holt
Brandon …: 74,7%
Lukas …: 25,3%
¿Por qué Brandon Holt?
UTR 14,36 vs 14,36
(-0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Lukas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 2,13 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,95 | 74,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Brandon …: +13,9%
Lukas …: -13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Holt
Ranking
#109
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#220
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
37/58 = 63,8%
Lukas Neumayer
Ranking
#226
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#213
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
3/11 = 27,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 121,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1101 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7467 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 307,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 58,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 36,5204 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 21,3889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,2727 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,7931 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27,2727 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9032 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2759 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7021 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0050 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,3169 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,6787 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,8063 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1473 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,6840 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3953 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,9486 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 27,2709 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0169 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1063 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 36,5204 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1394 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22612
API ID
15345367
Gamdom ID
589680
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22612,
"api_id": 15345367,
"gamdom_id": 589680,
"player1": "Brandon Holt",
"player2": "Lukas Neumayer",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.06
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7471,
"prob_p2": 0.2529,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7471,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 109,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 220,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.793103448275865,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 226,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 213,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 220,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 213,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 2.110091743119266,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 307,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.6786833855799443,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.793103448275865,
"surface_wr_p2": 27.27272727272727,
"utr_advantage": -0.1393728222996486,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 58,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7467314266940516,
"rank_advantage": 121,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 36.52037617554859,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.806269592476482,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.702100313479626,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3953488372093023,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1473354231974922,
"combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.005015673981191,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.27586206896551724,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.9486125390541225,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.537955069843896,
"surface_rank_synergy": 27.27091260497085,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.903225806451616,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3169278996865259,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.2727272727272725,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.683999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 36.52037617554859,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 68,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.016931034482758678,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1062727272727273,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.388888888888896,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}