Dane Sweeny vs Andrea Pellegrino
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dane Sweeny
Dane …: 75,0% Andrea …: 25,1%
¿Por qué Dane Sweeny?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,36 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dane … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,20 4,70 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,33 3,99 75,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Dane …: +2,6% Andrea …: -2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking #138
UTR Rating 14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #215
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/4 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -44,0000
rank_ratio 0,7596
log_rank_ratio -0,2750
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -123,0000
best_rank_diff -55,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 53,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,8535
surface_matches_ratio 3,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,6000
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,4658
first_serve_won_diff 9,5000
second_serve_won_diff 4,2750
bp_saved_diff -2,5750
bp_converted_diff 4,5500
aces_per_match_diff -0,7833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 24,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 24,2500
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 71,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,4814
serve_consistency_p2 9,2867
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -14,6673
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0773
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5440
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,7306
utr_p2 0,7518
utr_advantage -1,2587
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22613
API ID 15345389
Gamdom ID 589646
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22613,
    "api_id": 15345389,
    "gamdom_id": 589646,
    "player1": "Dane Sweeny",
    "player2": "Andrea Pellegrino",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7495,
    "prob_p2": 0.2505,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7495,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 138,
      "utr_singles": 14.36,
      "utr_ranking": 215,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.36,
      "ranking": 215,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7305882352941178,
    "utr_p2": 0.751764705882353,
    "utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7595628415300546,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -123,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.5749999999999957,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 23.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.2587412587412568,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -55,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.27501221971072926,
    "rank_advantage": -44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.549999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.465833333333336,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7833333333333332,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.481361892062547,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.286732455147321,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -14.667318384572228,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.6,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.274999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07733333333333337,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.544,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.853473684210524,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}