Dane Sweeny vs Andrea Pellegrino
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:40
12 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dane Sweeny
Dane …: 75,0%
Andrea …: 25,1%
¿Por qué Dane Sweeny?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,36
(-0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Dane … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 4,70 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,33 | 3,99 | 75,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Dane …: +2,6%
Andrea …: -2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dane Sweeny
Ranking
#182
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking
#138
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#215
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/4 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7596 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2750 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -123,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -55,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,8535 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,6000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,4658 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,2750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,5500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 71,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4814 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2867 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -14,6673 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0773 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5440 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7518 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2587 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22613
API ID
15345389
Gamdom ID
589646
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22613,
"api_id": 15345389,
"gamdom_id": 589646,
"player1": "Dane Sweeny",
"player2": "Andrea Pellegrino",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7495,
"prob_p2": 0.2505,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7495,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 182,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 138,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 215,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 215,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.751764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 0.7595628415300546,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -123,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.5749999999999957,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 23.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -1.2587412587412568,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -55,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.27501221971072926,
"rank_advantage": -44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.549999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.465833333333336,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7833333333333332,
"combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.481361892062547,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.286732455147321,
"surface_rank_synergy": -14.667318384572228,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.6,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.274999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07733333333333337,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.544,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.853473684210524,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}