Jerome Kym vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:35
12 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jerome Kym
Jerome …: 56,5%
Juan …: 43,5%
¿Por qué Jerome Kym?
UTR 14,50 vs 14,29
(+0,22)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jerome … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 4,10 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,30 | 56,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jerome …: -9,7%
Juan …: +9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jerome Kym
Ranking
#187
UTR Rating
14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#175
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Ranking
#210
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#238
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1492 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1390 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 36,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 85,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,1905 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,0909 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,4631 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 29,5989 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,5036 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 11,1571 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,0107 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,5571 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 10,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 46,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 134,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 61,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9448 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7250 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5257 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,1655 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0563 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0984 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 1,1905 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7424 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22616
API ID
15345390
Gamdom ID
589650
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22616,
"api_id": 15345390,
"gamdom_id": 589650,
"player1": "Jerome Kym",
"player2": "Juan Carlos Prado Angelo",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.05
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5653,
"prob_p2": 0.4347,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5653,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 187,
"utr_singles": 14.5,
"utr_ranking": 175,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 210,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 238,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.5,
"ranking": 175,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 238,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7423529411764707,
"utr_diff": 0.21999999999999886,
"rank_ratio": 1.149171270718232,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": 36,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.010714285714293,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 1.5256588072121975,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 85,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.1390410484354922,
"rank_advantage": 27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.190476190476197,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.557142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": 29.59892857142856,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9448275862068966,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 10.25,
"combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.50357142857142,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.7250385464118096,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.525730622091196,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.16552505766130113,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.46306818181817,
"second_serve_won_diff": 11.157142857142858,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7142857142857142,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 46.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 1.190476190476197,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 134,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.056333333333333346,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09842857142857142,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.09090909090908704,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}