Jerome Kym vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jerome Kym
Jerome …: 56,5% Juan …: 43,5%
¿Por qué Jerome Kym?
UTR 14,50 vs 14,29 (+0,22) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jerome … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,24 4,10 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,77 2,30 56,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Jerome …: -9,7% Juan …: +9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jerome Kym
Ranking #187
UTR Rating 14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #175
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Ranking #210
UTR Rating 14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #238
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,1492
log_rank_ratio 0,1390
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 36,0000
best_rank_diff 85,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,1905
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,0909
surface_matches_ratio 1,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3333
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,4631
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 29,5989
first_serve_won_diff 11,5036
second_serve_won_diff 11,1571
bp_saved_diff -10,0107
bp_converted_diff -13,5571
aces_per_match_diff 10,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 46,2500
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 134,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 61,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9448
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8571
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,7250
serve_consistency_p2 8,5257
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,1655
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0563
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0984
elite_surface_amplifier 1,1905
UTR
utr_diff 0,2200
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,7424
utr_advantage 1,5257
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22616
API ID 15345390
Gamdom ID 589650
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22616,
    "api_id": 15345390,
    "gamdom_id": 589650,
    "player1": "Jerome Kym",
    "player2": "Juan Carlos Prado Angelo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5653,
    "prob_p2": 0.4347,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5653,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 187,
      "utr_singles": 14.5,
      "utr_ranking": 175,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 210,
      "utr_singles": 14.29,
      "utr_ranking": 238,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.5,
      "ranking": 175,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.29,
      "ranking": 238,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7423529411764707,
    "utr_diff": 0.21999999999999886,
    "rank_ratio": 1.149171270718232,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": 36,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.010714285714293,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5256588072121975,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 85,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.1390410484354922,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.190476190476197,
    "bp_converted_diff": -13.557142857142857,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": 29.59892857142856,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9448275862068966,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 10.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.50357142857142,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.7250385464118096,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.525730622091196,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.16552505766130113,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.46306818181817,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 11.157142857142858,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7142857142857142,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 46.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 1.190476190476197,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 134,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.056333333333333346,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09842857142857142,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.09090909090908704,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}