Giulio Zeppieri vs Dan Added
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giulio Zeppieri
Giulio …: 83,5%
Dan …: 16,5%
¿Por qué Giulio Zeppieri?
UTR 14,62 vs 14,24
(+0,38)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Giulio … | Dan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 3,30 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,20 | 6,05 | 83,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Giulio …: +11,1%
Dan …: -11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giulio Zeppieri
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
14,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#142
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
25/38 = 65,8%
Dan Added
Ranking
#201
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#266
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/18 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3007 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2629 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 109,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 84,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,3450 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0649 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,7895 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,4545 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3158 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,4152 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,1006 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,5518 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,5789 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,8044 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,0260 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 65,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5789 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0465 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,0105 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,6109 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1119 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0096 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7365 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6298 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22617
API ID
15345380
Gamdom ID
589671
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22617,
"api_id": 15345380,
"gamdom_id": 589671,
"player1": "Giulio Zeppieri",
"player2": "Dan Added",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8346,
"prob_p2": 0.1654,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8346,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 14.62,
"utr_ranking": 142,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.78947368421053,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 201,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 266,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.62,
"ranking": 142,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 266,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.7364705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.3800000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 1.3006535947712419,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 109,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.578947368421069,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.78947368421053,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": 2.6297577854671337,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 84,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.262866903332057,
"rank_advantage": 46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5789473684210527,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.34502923976609,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.804385964912285,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.415233918128649,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.1005847953216517,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3157894736842105,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.046506194556509,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.010451545287324,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.610901737789523,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.45454545454545,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.551754385964912,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.026000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11189473684210527,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00955555555555554,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.06493506493507,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}