Giulio Zeppieri vs Dan Added
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giulio Zeppieri
Giulio …: 83,5% Dan …: 16,5%
¿Por qué Giulio Zeppieri?
UTR 14,62 vs 14,24 (+0,38) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Giulio … Dan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,34 3,30 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,20 6,05 83,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Giulio …: +11,1% Dan …: -11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giulio Zeppieri
Ranking #156
UTR Rating 14,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #142
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 25/38 = 65,8%
Dan Added
Ranking #201
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #266
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/18 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 46,0000
rank_ratio 1,3007
log_rank_ratio 0,2629
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 109,0000
best_rank_diff 84,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,3450
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0649
surface_matches_ratio 2,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,7895
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,2857
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,4545
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3158
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,4152
first_serve_won_diff -3,1006
second_serve_won_diff 6,5518
bp_saved_diff 12,5789
bp_converted_diff -3,8044
aces_per_match_diff 2,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,0260
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 65,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5789
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,0465
serve_consistency_p2 12,0105
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,6109
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1119
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0096
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3800
utr_p1 0,7812
utr_p2 0,7365
utr_advantage 2,6298
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22617
API ID 15345380
Gamdom ID 589671
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22617,
    "api_id": 15345380,
    "gamdom_id": 589671,
    "player1": "Giulio Zeppieri",
    "player2": "Dan Added",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8346,
    "prob_p2": 0.1654,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8346,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 156,
      "utr_singles": 14.62,
      "utr_ranking": 142,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.78947368421053,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 201,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 266,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.62,
      "ranking": 142,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 266,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.7364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.3800000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3006535947712419,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 109,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.578947368421069,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.78947368421053,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": 2.6297577854671337,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 84,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.262866903332057,
    "rank_advantage": 46,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5789473684210527,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.34502923976609,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.804385964912285,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.415233918128649,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.1005847953216517,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3157894736842105,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.046506194556509,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.010451545287324,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.610901737789523,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.45454545454545,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.551754385964912,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.026000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11189473684210527,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00955555555555554,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.06493506493507,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}