Jaime Faria vs Luka Mikrut
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:35
12 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaime Faria
Jaime …: 57,0%
Luka …: 43,0%
¿Por qué Jaime Faria?
UTR 14,32 vs 14,56
(-0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaime … | Luka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,28 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,76 | 2,32 | 57,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jaime …: +3,3%
Luka …: -3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaime Faria
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#229
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
8/16 = 50,0%
Luka Mikrut
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0596 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0579 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 40,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 72,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,2857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,0794 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,3118 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,5275 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,9100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,9162 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,4138 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1375 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 46,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8931 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8004 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5834 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,5789 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0090 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0910 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7765 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,0761 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22618
API ID
15345418
Gamdom ID
589670
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22618,
"api_id": 15345418,
"gamdom_id": 589670,
"player1": "Jaime Faria",
"player2": "Luka Mikrut",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.28
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5698,
"prob_p2": 0.4302,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5698,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 14.32,
"utr_ranking": 229,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 14.56,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.32,
"ranking": 229,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.56,
"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.776470588235294,
"utr_diff": -0.29999999999999893,
"rank_ratio": 1.0596026490066226,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 40,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.916249999999991,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -28.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -2.076124567474041,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 72,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.05789397841890267,
"rank_advantage": 9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.4137500000000074,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.3117500000000035,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8931297709923665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.13750000000000018,
"combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.5275000000000034,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.80044532354354,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.583368945295085,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.5789397841890267,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.079365079365076,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.910000000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.88,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 46,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.009000000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09099999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.285714285714284,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}