Jaime Faria vs Luka Mikrut
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaime Faria
Jaime …: 57,0% Luka …: 43,0%
¿Por qué Jaime Faria?
UTR 14,32 vs 14,56 (-0,30) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaime … Luka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,64 2,28 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,76 2,32 57,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaime …: +3,3% Luka …: -3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaime Faria
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #229
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 8/16 = 50,0%
Luka Mikrut
Ranking #163
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9,0000
rank_ratio 1,0596
log_rank_ratio 0,0579
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 40,0000
best_rank_diff 72,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,2857
surface_matches_ratio 3,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,0794
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,4500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,3118
first_serve_won_diff 1,5275
second_serve_won_diff 10,9100
bp_saved_diff 7,9162
bp_converted_diff 2,4138
aces_per_match_diff 0,1375
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,8800
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 46,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8931
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,8004
serve_consistency_p2 11,5834
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,5789
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0090
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0910
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3000
utr_p1 0,7412
utr_p2 0,7765
utr_advantage -2,0761
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22618
API ID 15345418
Gamdom ID 589670
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22618,
    "api_id": 15345418,
    "gamdom_id": 589670,
    "player1": "Jaime Faria",
    "player2": "Luka Mikrut",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.28
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5698,
    "prob_p2": 0.4302,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5698,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 14.32,
      "utr_ranking": 229,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 163,
      "utr_singles": 14.56,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.32,
      "ranking": 229,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.56,
      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -0.29999999999999893,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0596026490066226,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 40,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.916249999999991,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.076124567474041,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 72,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.05789397841890267,
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.4137500000000074,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.3117500000000035,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8931297709923665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.13750000000000018,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.5275000000000034,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.80044532354354,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.583368945295085,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.5789397841890267,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.079365079365076,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.910000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.88,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 46,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.009000000000000008,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09099999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.285714285714284,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}