Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Henrique Rocha
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:10
12 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Henrique Rocha
Joao …: 14,9%
Henrique …: 85,1%
¿Por qué Henrique Rocha?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,25
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Henrique … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,55 | 1,30 | 28,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,72 | 1,17 | 14,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Joao …: -16,4%
Henrique …: +16,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#290
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Henrique Rocha
Ranking
#158
UTR Rating
14,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#261
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/25 = 64,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7696 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2619 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -110,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -64,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,0121 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,1515 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,0690 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,3504 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,6400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,5680 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16,2200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -38,2480 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9800 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 61,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 45,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2038 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2545 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,7599 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4530 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0930 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7353 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22619
API ID
15345422
Gamdom ID
589665
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22619,
"api_id": 15345422,
"gamdom_id": 589665,
"player1": "Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva",
"player2": "Henrique Rocha",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T03:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3636363636363638
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.55,
"p2": 1.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.42,
"p2": 1.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1487,
"prob_p2": 0.8513,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8513,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 207,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 290,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 158,
"utr_singles": 14.25,
"utr_ranking": 261,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.19,
"ranking": 290,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.25,
"ranking": 261,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7352941176470589,
"utr_p2": 0.7352941176470589,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7696078431372549,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -110,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.22,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -38,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.26187418849590827,
"rank_advantage": -47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -64.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -38.248,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.350399999999993,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.98,
"combined_confidence": 0.58,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.6400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.203771914640933,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.254505922736854,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.75994806373813,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.151515151515156,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.06896551724138,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.56799999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.08,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.530000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 45,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.45299999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09299999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.01212121212121,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}