Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Henrique Rocha
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Henrique Rocha
Joao …: 14,9% Henrique …: 85,1%
¿Por qué Henrique Rocha?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,25 — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joao … Henrique … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 3,55 1,30 28,2%
IA Fair Odds 6,72 1,17 14,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Joao …: -16,4% Henrique …: +16,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Ranking #207
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #290
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Henrique Rocha
Ranking #158
UTR Rating 14,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #261
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/25 = 64,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -47,0000
rank_ratio 0,7696
log_rank_ratio -0,2619
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -110,0000
best_rank_diff -38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -64,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,0121
surface_matches_ratio 0,0800
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 64,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,1515
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,0690
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,5800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,3504
first_serve_won_diff -3,6400
second_serve_won_diff -8,5680
bp_saved_diff -16,2200
bp_converted_diff -38,2480
aces_per_match_diff -1,9800
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,5300
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 61,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 45,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2038
serve_consistency_p2 8,2545
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,7599
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4530
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0930
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7353
utr_p2 0,7353
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22619
API ID 15345422
Gamdom ID 589665
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22619,
    "api_id": 15345422,
    "gamdom_id": 589665,
    "player1": "Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva",
    "player2": "Henrique Rocha",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.55,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.42,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1487,
    "prob_p2": 0.8513,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8513,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 207,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 290,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 158,
      "utr_singles": 14.25,
      "utr_ranking": 261,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 290,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.25,
      "ranking": 261,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7352941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.7352941176470589,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7696078431372549,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -110,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -16.22,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.26187418849590827,
    "rank_advantage": -47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -64.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -38.248,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.350399999999993,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.98,
    "combined_confidence": 0.58,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.6400000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.203771914640933,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.254505922736854,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.75994806373813,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.151515151515156,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.06896551724138,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.56799999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.08,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.530000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 45,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.45299999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09299999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.01212121212121,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}