Rei Sakamoto vs Daniel Evans
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rei Sakamoto
Rei …: 57,1% Daniel …: 42,9%
¿Por qué Rei Sakamoto?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,33 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rei … Daniel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,46 2,75 68,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,75 2,33 57,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Rei …: -1,8% Daniel …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rei Sakamoto
Ranking #203
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #193
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 27/48 = 56,3%
Daniel Evans
Ranking #188
UTR Rating 14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #216
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/18 = 38,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,9200
log_rank_ratio -0,0834
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -22,0000
best_rank_diff -138,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,3611
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,8881
surface_matches_ratio 2,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,2500
surface_wr_p2 38,8889
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,7692
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,9091
p1_surface_matches 48,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,7611
first_serve_won_diff 7,5444
second_serve_won_diff -0,2222
bp_saved_diff 6,9028
bp_converted_diff -8,2514
aces_per_match_diff 5,0278
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -4,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,6500
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 129,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8527
serve_consistency_p2 12,9919
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,4476
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0785
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1271
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,7482
utr_p2 0,7576
utr_advantage -0,5556
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22621
API ID 15345376
Gamdom ID 589663
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22621,
    "api_id": 15345376,
    "gamdom_id": 589663,
    "player1": "Rei Sakamoto",
    "player2": "Daniel Evans",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5708,
    "prob_p2": 0.4292,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5708,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 203,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 193,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 188,
      "utr_singles": 14.33,
      "utr_ranking": 216,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 193,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.33,
      "ranking": 216,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.748235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7576470588235293,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.92,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -22,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.902777777777779,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -3.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5555555555555561,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -138,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.08338160893905101,
    "rank_advantage": -16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.361111111111107,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.251388888888883,
    "p1_surface_matches": 48,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.761111111111113,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.027777777777777,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.544444444444451,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.852651344762517,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.991942471483226,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.4475973774140798,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.769230769230774,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.22222222222222143,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6499999999999986,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07850000000000001,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12711111111111106,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.888111888111888,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}