Rei Sakamoto vs Daniel Evans
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:50
12 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rei Sakamoto
Rei …: 57,1%
Daniel …: 42,9%
¿Por qué Rei Sakamoto?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,33
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rei … | Daniel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,46 | 2,75 | 68,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,75 | 2,33 | 57,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rei …: -1,8%
Daniel …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rei Sakamoto
Ranking
#203
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#193
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
27/48 = 56,3%
Daniel Evans
Ranking
#188
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/18 = 38,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0834 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -22,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -138,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,3611 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,8881 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,7692 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 48,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,7611 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,5444 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,2222 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9028 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,2514 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0278 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -4,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,6500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 129,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8527 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,9919 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,4476 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0785 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1271 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7576 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5556 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22621
API ID
15345376
Gamdom ID
589663
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22621,
"api_id": 15345376,
"gamdom_id": 589663,
"player1": "Rei Sakamoto",
"player2": "Daniel Evans",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5708,
"prob_p2": 0.4292,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5708,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 203,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 193,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 188,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.42,
"ranking": 193,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.33,
"ranking": 216,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.748235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7576470588235293,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.92,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -22,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.902777777777779,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -3.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
"utr_advantage": -0.5555555555555561,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -138,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.08338160893905101,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.361111111111107,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.251388888888883,
"p1_surface_matches": 48,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.761111111111113,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.027777777777777,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.544444444444451,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.852651344762517,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.991942471483226,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.4475973774140798,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.769230769230774,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.22222222222222143,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6499999999999986,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07850000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12711111111111106,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.888111888111888,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}