Bernard Tomic vs Hugo Dellien
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:10
12 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Bernard Tomic
Bernard …: 66,1%
Hugo …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Bernard Tomic?
UTR 14,41 vs 14,37
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Bernard … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,26 | 3,85 | 79,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,95 | 66,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Bernard …: -8,9%
Hugo …: +8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Bernard Tomic
Ranking
#185
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#208
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/38 = 50,0%
Hugo Dellien
Ranking
#137
UTR Rating
14,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#209
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7380 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3039 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -126,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 47,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,8584 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 6,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4082 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,7639 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,5605 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,2868 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,8684 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4035 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,1050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 103,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3521 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,3350 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,0642 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0490 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2157 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1801 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22623
API ID
15345402
Gamdom ID
589622
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22623,
"api_id": 15345402,
"gamdom_id": 589622,
"player1": "Bernard Tomic",
"player2": "Hugo Dellien",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6615,
"prob_p2": 0.3385,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6615,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 185,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 208,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 137,
"utr_singles": 14.37,
"utr_ranking": 209,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 208,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 209,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.7379679144385026,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -126,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.286842105263169,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -1.1801457827143347,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 47,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.303854931697382,
"rank_advantage": -49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.868421052631582,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.763859649122821,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.403508771929824,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.250000000000014,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.35209664698313,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.335048856691573,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.064248861623034,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.40816326530613,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5605263157894669,
"surface_matches_ratio": 6.333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.105000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 103,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.049000000000000044,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21566666666666678,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.8583673469387705,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}