Bernard Tomic vs Hugo Dellien
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Bernard Tomic
Bernard …: 66,1% Hugo …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Bernard Tomic?
UTR 14,41 vs 14,37 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Bernard … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,26 3,85 79,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,95 66,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Bernard …: -8,9% Hugo …: +8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Bernard Tomic
Ranking #185
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #208
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/38 = 50,0%
Hugo Dellien
Ranking #137
UTR Rating 14,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #209
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -49,0000
rank_ratio 0,7380
log_rank_ratio -0,3039
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -126,0000
best_rank_diff 47,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,8584
surface_matches_ratio 6,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4082
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,7639
first_serve_won_diff 4,2500
second_serve_won_diff -0,5605
bp_saved_diff 10,2868
bp_converted_diff 4,8684
aces_per_match_diff 3,4035
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 24,1050
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 90,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 103,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3521
serve_consistency_p2 10,3350
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,0642
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0490
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2157
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,7435
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage -1,1801
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22623
API ID 15345402
Gamdom ID 589622
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22623,
    "api_id": 15345402,
    "gamdom_id": 589622,
    "player1": "Bernard Tomic",
    "player2": "Hugo Dellien",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T06:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6615,
    "prob_p2": 0.3385,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6615,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 185,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 137,
      "utr_singles": 14.37,
      "utr_ranking": 209,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.37,
      "ranking": 209,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7379679144385026,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -126,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.286842105263169,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": -1.1801457827143347,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 47,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.303854931697382,
    "rank_advantage": -49,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.868421052631582,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.763859649122821,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.403508771929824,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.250000000000014,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.35209664698313,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.335048856691573,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.064248861623034,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.40816326530613,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.5605263157894669,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.105000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 103,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.049000000000000044,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21566666666666678,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.8583673469387705,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}