Daniil Glinka vs Clement Tabur
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Glinka
Daniil …: 52,0%
Clement …: 48,0%
¿Por qué Daniil Glinka?
UTR 14,44 vs 14,41
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Clement … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,96 | 1,85 | 51,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,92 | 2,08 | 52,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daniil …: -3,8%
Clement …: +3,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Glinka
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#186
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Hard
30/40 = 75,0%
Clement Tabur
Ranking
#202
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#189
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
19/27 = 70,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0510 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 15,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,6296 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7361 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4815 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,3704 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 67,7419 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,6860 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,3570 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,6978 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,0067 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -18,2563 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0491 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,3210 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 87,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 66,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7273 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9476 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8588 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2304 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2137 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,6296 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3454 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22624
API ID
15345413
Gamdom ID
589652
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22624,
"api_id": 15345413,
"gamdom_id": 589652,
"player1": "Daniil Glinka",
"player2": "Clement Tabur",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.96,
"p2": 1.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.93,
"p2": 1.81
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5197,
"prob_p2": 0.4803,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5197,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 200,
"utr_singles": 14.44,
"utr_ranking": 186,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 202,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 189,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.37037037037037,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.44,
"ranking": 186,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.41,
"ranking": 189,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7647058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.7588235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 1.0510204081632653,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 15,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.006666666666675,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.37037037037037,
"utr_advantage": 0.3454231433506094,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 7,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0497615095590638,
"rank_advantage": 10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.629629629629633,
"bp_converted_diff": -18.256296296296306,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.686000000000007,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0490740740740736,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.3570370370370455,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.947632953549745,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.8587571103028315,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.23037735906974,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.74193548387096,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.69777777777778,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4814814814814814,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.320999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.629629629629633,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 87,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21370370370370373,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.736070381231684,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}