Daniil Glinka vs Clement Tabur
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Glinka
Daniil …: 52,0% Clement …: 48,0%
¿Por qué Daniil Glinka?
UTR 14,44 vs 14,41 (+0,05) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Clement … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,96 1,85 51,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,92 2,08 52,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Daniil …: -3,8% Clement …: +3,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Glinka
Ranking #200
UTR Rating 14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #186
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 30/40 = 75,0%
Clement Tabur
Ranking #202
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #189
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 19/27 = 70,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 10,0000
rank_ratio 1,0510
log_rank_ratio 0,0498
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 15,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,6296
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,7361
surface_matches_ratio 1,4815
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 70,3704
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,7273
surface_wr_p2_stable 67,7419
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,6860
first_serve_won_diff 2,3570
second_serve_won_diff 4,6978
bp_saved_diff -4,0067
bp_converted_diff -18,2563
aces_per_match_diff 3,0491
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,3210
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 87,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 66,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7273
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 6,9476
serve_consistency_p2 6,8588
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2304
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2400
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2137
elite_surface_amplifier 4,6296
UTR
utr_diff 0,0500
utr_p1 0,7647
utr_p2 0,7588
utr_advantage 0,3454
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22624
API ID 15345413
Gamdom ID 589652
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22624,
    "api_id": 15345413,
    "gamdom_id": 589652,
    "player1": "Daniil Glinka",
    "player2": "Clement Tabur",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.96,
      "p2": 1.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.93,
      "p2": 1.81
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5197,
    "prob_p2": 0.4803,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5197,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 200,
      "utr_singles": 14.44,
      "utr_ranking": 186,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 202,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 189,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.37037037037037,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.44,
      "ranking": 186,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 189,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.7588235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0510204081632653,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 15,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.006666666666675,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.37037037037037,
    "utr_advantage": 0.3454231433506094,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0497615095590638,
    "rank_advantage": 10,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.629629629629633,
    "bp_converted_diff": -18.256296296296306,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.686000000000007,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.0490740740740736,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.3570370370370455,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.947632953549745,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.8587571103028315,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.23037735906974,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.74193548387096,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.69777777777778,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4814814814814814,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.320999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.629629629629633,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 87,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21370370370370373,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.736070381231684,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}