Dusan Lajovic vs Facundo Diaz Acosta
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 09:05
12 Ene 2026, 09:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Dusan …: 41,6%
Facundo …: 58,4%
¿Por qué Facundo Diaz Acosta?
UTR 14,39 vs 14,54
(-0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Dusan … | Facundo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,98 | 1,84 | 50,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,40 | 1,71 | 41,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Dusan …: -14,2%
Facundo …: +14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dusan Lajovic
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/17 = 35,3%
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Ranking
#247
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 85,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6800 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5188 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 212,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,2513 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,7206 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5455 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,2941 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,0952 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2053 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,5824 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2647 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,1059 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,7380 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5749 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8381 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,9875 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2321 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1305 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -19,2513 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3784 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22625
API ID
15345398
Gamdom ID
589642
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22625,
"api_id": 15345398,
"gamdom_id": 589642,
"player1": "Dusan Lajovic",
"player2": "Facundo Diaz Acosta",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T05:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.98,
"p2": 1.84
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.97,
"p2": 1.79
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4159,
"prob_p2": 0.5841,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5841,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 125,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 247,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_diff": -0.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.68,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 212,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.10588235294117254,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.294117647058826,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": -1.3783597518952397,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5187937934151675,
"rank_advantage": 85,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.251336898395714,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.2053475935828928,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.6666666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.737967914438503,
"combined_confidence": 0.5066666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.582352941176467,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.29411764705882354,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.574889526386913,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.838126827047431,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.987474097832097,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.264705882352935,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5454545454545454,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.100000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -19.251336898395714,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 68,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2320588235294117,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13045454545454538,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.720634920634921,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}