Luca Van Assche vs Moez Echargui
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:50
12 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moez Echargui
Luca …: 41,7%
Moez …: 58,3%
¿Por qué Moez Echargui?
UTR 14,81 vs 14,59
(+0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Moez … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,32 | 3,40 | 75,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,40 | 1,71 | 41,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Luca …: -30,7%
Moez …: +30,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Van Assche
Ranking
#165
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Moez Echargui
Ranking
#134
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/24 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8171 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2020 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -98,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 71,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,9286 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,7143 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8999 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8808 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,1173 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,1327 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4519 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8526 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,0830 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4905 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7420 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5253 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0300 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0950 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9550 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22626
API ID
15345409
Gamdom ID
589621
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22626,
"api_id": 15345409,
"gamdom_id": 589621,
"player1": "Luca Van Assche",
"player2": "Moez Echargui",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4166,
"prob_p2": 0.5834,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5834,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 165,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 134,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 147,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 0.8170731707317073,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -98,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.13269230769231,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 8.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": 0.9549795361528005,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 71,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.20202662787328712,
"rank_advantage": -30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.5,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.45192307692308,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.8999358974358955,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8525641025641022,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8807692307692321,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.490469876408653,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.742001777229818,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.525332848416089,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.71428571428571,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.1173076923077048,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0833333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.082999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030000000000000027,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09499999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.928571428571423,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}