Murphy Cassone vs Yu Hsiou Hsu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Murphy …: 47,9% Yu …: 52,1%
¿Por qué Yu Hsiou Hsu?
UTR 14,23 vs 14,27 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Murphy … Yu … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,63 2,29 61,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,09 1,92 47,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Murphy …: -9,7% Yu …: +9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Murphy Cassone
Ranking #224
UTR Rating 14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #271
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 30/48 = 62,5%
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Ranking #220
UTR Rating 14,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #250
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4,0000
rank_ratio 1,0186
log_rank_ratio 0,0184
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 9,0000
best_rank_diff -14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,0349
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,9640
surface_matches_ratio 1,1163
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 60,4651
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,5385
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,5745
p1_surface_matches 48,0000
p2_surface_matches 43,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,5218
first_serve_won_diff 7,5064
second_serve_won_diff 0,7047
bp_saved_diff 6,9874
bp_converted_diff 0,9822
aces_per_match_diff 4,2786
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,3140
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 143,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 60,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7692
serve_consistency_p1 8,8154
serve_consistency_p2 5,8160
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0375
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1210
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1087
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,7282
utr_p2 0,7376
utr_advantage -0,5622
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22628
API ID 15345396
Gamdom ID 589620
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22628,
    "api_id": 15345396,
    "gamdom_id": 589620,
    "player1": "Murphy Cassone",
    "player2": "Yu Hsiou Hsu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.63,
      "p2": 2.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4793,
    "prob_p2": 0.5207,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5207,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 224,
      "utr_singles": 14.23,
      "utr_ranking": 271,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 220,
      "utr_singles": 14.27,
      "utr_ranking": 250,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.23,
      "ranking": 271,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.27,
      "ranking": 250,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.728235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7376470588235293,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0186046511627906,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 9,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.987403100775197,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.46511627906976,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5621925509487005,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.018433701688837966,
    "rank_advantage": 4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.034883720930239,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.9821705426356573,
    "p1_surface_matches": 48,
    "p2_surface_matches": 43,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.521787790697665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.27858527131783,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.506443798449595,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.815449295991872,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.81603858985122,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.03751043948310063,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.57446808510638,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.7046511627906895,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1162790697674418,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.314,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 143,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.121,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10865116279069764,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9639934533551582,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}