Murphy Cassone vs Yu Hsiou Hsu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:40
12 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Murphy …: 47,9%
Yu …: 52,1%
¿Por qué Yu Hsiou Hsu?
UTR 14,23 vs 14,27
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Murphy … | Yu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,63 | 2,29 | 61,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,09 | 1,92 | 47,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Murphy …: -9,7%
Yu …: +9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Murphy Cassone
Ranking
#224
UTR Rating
14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#271
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
30/48 = 62,5%
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Ranking
#220
UTR Rating
14,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#250
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0186 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0184 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 9,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,0349 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,9640 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1163 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,4651 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,5745 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 48,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,5218 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,5064 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7047 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9874 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,9822 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,2786 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,3140 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 143,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7692 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8154 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8160 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0375 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1210 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1087 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7376 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5622 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22628
API ID
15345396
Gamdom ID
589620
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22628,
"api_id": 15345396,
"gamdom_id": 589620,
"player1": "Murphy Cassone",
"player2": "Yu Hsiou Hsu",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.63,
"p2": 2.29
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4793,
"prob_p2": 0.5207,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5207,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 224,
"utr_singles": 14.23,
"utr_ranking": 271,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 220,
"utr_singles": 14.27,
"utr_ranking": 250,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 271,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 250,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7376470588235293,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.0186046511627906,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 9,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.987403100775197,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.46511627906976,
"utr_advantage": -0.5621925509487005,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.018433701688837966,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.034883720930239,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.9821705426356573,
"p1_surface_matches": 48,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.521787790697665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.27858527131783,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.506443798449595,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.815449295991872,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.81603858985122,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.03751043948310063,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.57446808510638,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7046511627906895,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1162790697674418,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.314,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 143,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.121,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10865116279069764,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9639934533551582,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}