Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues …: 70,6% Guy …: 29,4%
¿Por qué Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
UTR 14,43 vs 14,52 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pierre-Hugues … Guy … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,75 2,08 57,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,42 3,41 70,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Pierre-Hugues …: +11,8% Guy …: -11,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ranking #157
UTR Rating 14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #187
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/27 = 55,6%
Guy Den Ouden
Ranking #160
UTR Rating 14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #168
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4,0000
rank_ratio 1,0260
log_rank_ratio 0,0256
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 27,0000
best_rank_diff 111,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,3778
surface_matches_ratio 27,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,8387
surface_wr_p2_stable 67,0000
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,6067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 24,3833
first_serve_won_diff 21,1444
second_serve_won_diff 0,1111
bp_saved_diff 53,0556
bp_converted_diff 9,6222
aces_per_match_diff 6,8889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,1560
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 78,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 130,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,8162
serve_consistency_p2 9,0267
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,4246
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0516
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4960
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,7612
utr_p2 0,7812
utr_advantage -1,1680
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22629
API ID 15345363
Gamdom ID 589673
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22629,
    "api_id": 15345363,
    "gamdom_id": 589673,
    "player1": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert",
    "player2": "Guy Den Ouden",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 2.08
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7064,
    "prob_p2": 0.2936,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7064,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 157,
      "utr_singles": 14.43,
      "utr_ranking": 187,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": 14.52,
      "utr_ranking": 168,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.43,
      "ranking": 187,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.52,
      "ranking": 168,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.025974025974026,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 27,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 53.05555555555554,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.1679835108210233,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 111,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.025642430613337652,
    "rank_advantage": 4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.622222222222227,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 24.38333333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.888888888888889,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 21.144444444444446,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.816168846543711,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.026690503750283,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.4245794785187584,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.83870967741935,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.11111111111112137,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 27.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.155999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 78,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 130,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05155555555555558,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.496,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.377849462365593,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}