Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues …: 70,6%
Guy …: 29,4%
¿Por qué Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
UTR 14,43 vs 14,52
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pierre-Hugues … | Guy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,75 | 2,08 | 57,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,42 | 3,41 | 70,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pierre-Hugues …: +11,8%
Guy …: -11,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ranking
#157
UTR Rating
14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#187
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/27 = 55,6%
Guy Den Ouden
Ranking
#160
UTR Rating
14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#168
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0260 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0256 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 27,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 111,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,3778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 27,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,8387 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 67,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 24,3833 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 21,1444 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,1111 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 53,0556 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,6222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,8889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,1560 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 130,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8162 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0267 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,4246 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0516 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4960 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1680 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22629
API ID
15345363
Gamdom ID
589673
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22629,
"api_id": 15345363,
"gamdom_id": 589673,
"player1": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert",
"player2": "Guy Den Ouden",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.08
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.05
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7064,
"prob_p2": 0.2936,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7064,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 157,
"utr_singles": 14.43,
"utr_ranking": 187,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 160,
"utr_singles": 14.52,
"utr_ranking": 168,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.43,
"ranking": 187,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.52,
"ranking": 168,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.025974025974026,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 27,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 53.05555555555554,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -1.1679835108210233,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 111,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.025642430613337652,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 55.55555555555556,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.622222222222227,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 24.38333333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.888888888888889,
"combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 21.144444444444446,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.816168846543711,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.026690503750283,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.4245794785187584,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.83870967741935,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.11111111111112137,
"surface_matches_ratio": 27.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.155999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 78,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 130,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05155555555555558,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.496,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.377849462365593,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}