Tristan Boyer vs Alex Barrena
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tristan Boyer
Tristan …: 80,0% Alex …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Tristan Boyer?
UTR 14,33 vs 14,25 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tristan … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,26 3,90 79,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 4,99 80,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tristan …: +5,0% Alex …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Boyer
Ranking #181
UTR Rating 14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #242
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/23 = 52,2%
Alex Barrena
Ranking #190
UTR Rating 14,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #262
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 8,0000
rank_ratio 1,0449
log_rank_ratio 0,0440
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 14,0000
best_rank_diff 64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 52,1739
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,8557
surface_matches_ratio 23,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,1739
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,8519
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,6957
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0435
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,5400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,6687
first_serve_won_diff 10,9304
second_serve_won_diff -0,1913
bp_saved_diff -4,0739
bp_converted_diff -8,7478
aces_per_match_diff 1,1304
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -31,1500
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 61,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7200
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,1499
serve_consistency_p2 10,6650
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,2937
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0137
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4920
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,7388
utr_p2 0,7494
utr_advantage -0,6283
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22630
API ID 15345397
Gamdom ID 589637
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22630,
    "api_id": 15345397,
    "gamdom_id": 589637,
    "player1": "Tristan Boyer",
    "player2": "Alex Barrena",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.56
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7996,
    "prob_p2": 0.2004,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7996,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 181,
      "utr_singles": 14.33,
      "utr_ranking": 242,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 190,
      "utr_singles": 14.25,
      "utr_ranking": 262,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.33,
      "ranking": 242,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.25,
      "ranking": 262,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7494117647058822,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0449438202247192,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 14,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.073913043478257,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6282722513088996,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 64,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.043963123421116204,
    "rank_advantage": 8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 52.17391304347826,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.747826086956522,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.668695652173916,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.72,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1304347826086953,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5399999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.930434782608707,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.149862750412708,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.665036857152526,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.2937281784930192,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.85185185185185,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.69565217391305,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.1913043478260903,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 23.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -31.15,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.013739130434782587,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.492,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.855652173913047,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}