Tristan Boyer vs Alex Barrena
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:35
12 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tristan Boyer
Tristan …: 80,0%
Alex …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Tristan Boyer?
UTR 14,33 vs 14,25
(-0,09)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tristan … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,26 | 3,90 | 79,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 4,99 | 80,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tristan …: +5,0%
Alex …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Boyer
Ranking
#181
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#242
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/23 = 52,2%
Alex Barrena
Ranking
#190
UTR Rating
14,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#262
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0449 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0440 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 14,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 64,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,8557 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 23,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,6957 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0435 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,6687 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,9304 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1913 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,0739 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,7478 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1304 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -31,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 61,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 59,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1499 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6650 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,2937 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0137 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7494 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6283 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22630
API ID
15345397
Gamdom ID
589637
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22630,
"api_id": 15345397,
"gamdom_id": 589637,
"player1": "Tristan Boyer",
"player2": "Alex Barrena",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T03:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.56
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7996,
"prob_p2": 0.2004,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7996,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 181,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 242,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 190,
"utr_singles": 14.25,
"utr_ranking": 262,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.33,
"ranking": 242,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.25,
"ranking": 262,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7494117647058822,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.0449438202247192,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 14,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.073913043478257,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -38.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -0.6282722513088996,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 64,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.043963123421116204,
"rank_advantage": 8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 52.17391304347826,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.747826086956522,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.668695652173916,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.72,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1304347826086953,
"combined_confidence": 0.5399999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.930434782608707,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.149862750412708,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.665036857152526,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.2937281784930192,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.69565217391305,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.1913043478260903,
"surface_matches_ratio": 23.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -31.15,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.013739130434782587,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.492,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.855652173913047,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}