Filip Misolic vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Filip Misolic
Filip …: 62,5%
Alexander …: 37,5%
¿Por qué Filip Misolic?
UTR 14,55 vs 14,73
(-0,01)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Filip … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,60 | 2,67 | 62,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Filip …: +16,2%
Alexander …: -16,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Misolic
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
14,55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3418 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2940 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 127,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,2174 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,5864 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1304 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,0370 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,3815 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,5848 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,1087 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5891 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,1304 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7609 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,0610 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9574 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3351 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,4738 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0270 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1252 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,2174 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,0681 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22633
API ID
15346236
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22633,
"api_id": 15346236,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Filip Misolic",
"player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.23,
"p2": 1.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6254,
"prob_p2": 0.3746,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6254,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": 14.55,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.73,
"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7870588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
"rank_ratio": 1.3417721518987342,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 127,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5891304347826107,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
"utr_advantage": -0.068096697310179,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2939912416450457,
"rank_advantage": 27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.217391304347828,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.130434782608695,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.3815217391304273,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38181818181818183,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7608695652173916,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.5847826086956474,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.95741768703828,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.33514537846725,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.47377976416374,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.108695652173914,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1304347826086956,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.060999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.217391304347828,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.027000000000000024,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12517391304347825,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.58641975308642,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}