Filip Misolic vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Filip Misolic
Filip …: 62,5% Alexander …: 37,5%
¿Por qué Filip Misolic?
UTR 14,55 vs 14,73 (-0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Filip … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,60 2,67 62,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Filip …: +16,2% Alexander …: -16,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Misolic
Ranking #84
UTR Rating 14,55 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/26 = 50,0%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,3418
log_rank_ratio 0,2940
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 127,0000
best_rank_diff -34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,2174
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,5864
surface_matches_ratio 1,1304
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 34,7826
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,0370
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,3815
first_serve_won_diff -1,5848
second_serve_won_diff 3,1087
bp_saved_diff -0,5891
bp_converted_diff 6,1304
aces_per_match_diff -0,7609
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,0610
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 9,9574
serve_consistency_p2 12,3351
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,4738
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0270
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1252
elite_surface_amplifier 15,2174
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,7859
utr_p2 0,7871
utr_advantage -0,0681
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22633
API ID 15346236
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22633,
    "api_id": 15346236,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Filip Misolic",
    "player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.23,
      "p2": 1.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6254,
    "prob_p2": 0.3746,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6254,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": 14.55,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 14.73,
      "utr_ranking": 123,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
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      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
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    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 127,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.5891304347826107,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
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    "utr_advantage": -0.068096697310179,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 6.130434782608695,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -1.3815217391304273,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7608695652173916,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.5847826086956474,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.95741768703828,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.33514537846725,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.47377976416374,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.108695652173914,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.027000000000000024,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12517391304347825,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.58641975308642,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}