Jacob Fearnley vs Aleksandar Vukic
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jacob Fearnley
Jacob …: 70,2%
Aleksandar …: 29,8%
¿Por qué Jacob Fearnley?
UTR 15,30 vs 14,77
(+0,66)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jacob … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 1,91 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,42 | 3,35 | 70,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jacob …: +18,7%
Aleksandar …: -18,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking
#78
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#112
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
19/43 = 44,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1757 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1618 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 59,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,0640 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,8747 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7442 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,1860 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,6809 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,8981 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3848 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,0518 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5933 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,4122 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6606 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8867 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1014 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2609 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8045 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3249 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,9525 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0495 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0451 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,3651 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22634
API ID
15346237
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22634,
"api_id": 15346237,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
"player2": "Aleksandar Vukic",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 1.9090909090909092
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7018,
"prob_p2": 0.2982,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7018,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 78,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 112,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.3,
"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.77,
"ranking": 112,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.7988235294117646,
"utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.1756756756756757,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 59,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5933139534883765,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -6.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.18604651162791,
"utr_advantage": 4.3650793650793664,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.16184302545041396,
"rank_advantage": 13,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2608695652173913,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.063953488372093,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.412209302325586,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.898081395348825,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1014492753623188,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.66061046511628,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.384811046511615,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.804459387121605,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.324912665498502,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.9524667314512147,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.680851063829785,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.0518168604651095,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7441860465116279,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.900000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04949999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04513953488372091,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.874704491725772,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}