Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Andrea Vavassori
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
12 Ene 2026, 06:10
12 Ene 2026, 06:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago …: 65,6%
Andrea …: 34,4%
¿Por qué Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thiago … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,90 | 65,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Thiago …: +6,7%
Andrea …: -6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ranking
#103
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
9/14 = 64,3%
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking
#291
UTR Rating
14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#133
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/13 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 231,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,2427 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1764 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 458,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,7473 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0980 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0769 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,6445 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0231 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7253 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,2341 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,8604 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1868 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,8540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8474 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7364 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,2319 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0881 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3464 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,7473 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22635
API ID
15346238
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22635,
"api_id": 15346238,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Thiago Agustin Tirante",
"player2": "Andrea Vavassori",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6555,
"prob_p2": 0.3445,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6555,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 291,
"utr_singles": 14.67,
"utr_ranking": 133,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 133,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 3.2427184466019416,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 458,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.2340659340659528,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 38,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1764120047470645,
"rank_advantage": 231,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.7472527472527517,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.860439560439566,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.6445054945054807,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1868131868131861,
"combined_confidence": 0.48,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0230769230769283,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.847441823660182,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.736409917397857,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.23190111194249,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7252747252747298,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0769230769230769,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.853999999999985,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.7472527472527517,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08814285714285708,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3463846153846154,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.098039215686274,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}