Alice Rame vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:05
12 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alice Rame
Alice …: 57,2%
Jazmin …: 42,8%
¿Por qué Alice Rame?
UTR 11,46 vs 11,17
(+0,35)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alice … | Jazmin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,33 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,75 | 2,34 | 57,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alice …: -7,3%
Jazmin …: +7,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alice Rame
Ranking
#195
UTR Rating
11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#280
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Jazmin Ortenzi
Ranking
#218
UTR Rating
11,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#404
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1361 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1276 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 38,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,3970 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 49,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 50,3000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 58,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 50,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 40,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 20,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6687 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0752 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5260 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4740 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3682 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0960 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22636
API ID
15345346
Gamdom ID
589578
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22636,
"api_id": 15345346,
"gamdom_id": 589578,
"player1": "Alice Rame",
"player2": "Jazmin Ortenzi",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T06:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5724,
"prob_p2": 0.4276,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5724,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 195,
"utr_singles": 11.46,
"utr_ranking": 280,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 218,
"utr_singles": 11.17,
"utr_ranking": 404,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.46,
"ranking": 280,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.17,
"ranking": 404,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4094117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.36823529411764716,
"utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.1361256544502618,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": 38,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 40.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.095975232198139,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.1276239254938297,
"rank_advantage": 26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 20.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 50.3,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 58.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.668703076375738,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.07518838915242,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 50.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.180000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 40,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.526,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.474,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.3970370370370375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}