Lucia Bronzetti vs Aliona Bolsova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucia Bronzetti
Lucia …: 89,6%
Aliona …: 10,4%
¿Por qué Lucia Bronzetti?
UTR 11,56 vs 11,38
(+0,08)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lucia … | Aliona … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,18 | 4,50 | 84,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,35 | 3,35 | 74,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,12 | 9,59 | 89,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lucia …: +10,4%
Aliona …: -10,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#227
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
13/30 = 43,3%
Aliona Bolsova
Ranking
#234
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#316
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 126,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7885 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 428,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,3502 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 15,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,5897 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,4747 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,2633 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,4767 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,7600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,6700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,6590 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 35,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5972 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9779 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5742 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 34,1665 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1927 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3740 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 43,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3988 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6999 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22638
API ID
15345326
Gamdom ID
589597
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22638,
"api_id": 15345326,
"gamdom_id": 589597,
"player1": "Lucia Bronzetti",
"player2": "Aliona Bolsova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1818181818181819,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8957,
"prob_p2": 0.1043,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8957,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 107,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 234,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 316,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 227,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 316,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40823529411764714,
"utr_p2": 0.3988235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 2.2,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 428,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.760000000000005,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.6999125109361336,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 42,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7884573603642703,
"rank_advantage": 126,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 43.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.669999999999995,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.474666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5972222222222222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.3,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.263333333333328,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.97793825506923,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.574164650259553,
"surface_rank_synergy": 34.16648561578505,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.11764705882353,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.58974358974359,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.476666666666674,
"surface_matches_ratio": 15.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.658999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 43.333333333333336,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 35,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19266666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.374,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3501759678230254,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}