Nikola Bartunkova vs Selena Janicijevic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola …: 65,8% Selena …: 34,2%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,38 (+0,63) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikola … Selena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,20 4,90 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,52 2,92 65,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikola …: -9,2% Selena …: +9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Selena Janicijevic
Ranking #223
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #321
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 95,0000
rank_ratio 1,7540
log_rank_ratio 0,5619
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 256,0000
best_rank_diff 27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,8700
surface_matches_ratio 1,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0171
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,8421
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,4000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,8456
first_serve_won_diff 6,3111
second_serve_won_diff 10,0778
bp_saved_diff 0,0444
bp_converted_diff -6,5222
aces_per_match_diff 2,8333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,4540
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5711
serve_consistency_p2 7,2258
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,1216
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0394
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0950
elite_surface_amplifier 5,5556
UTR
utr_diff 0,6300
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,3953
utr_advantage 5,3961
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22639
API ID 15345239
Gamdom ID 589568
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22639,
    "api_id": 15345239,
    "gamdom_id": 589568,
    "player1": "Nikola Bartunkova",
    "player2": "Selena Janicijevic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6581,
    "prob_p2": 0.3419,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6581,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 223,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 321,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 321,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.39529411764705874,
    "utr_diff": 0.6300000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 1.753968253968254,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 256,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.04444444444445139,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.396145610278379,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5618807945662748,
    "rank_advantage": 95,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.522222222222226,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.845555555555556,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.8333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.311111111111117,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.571131243282679,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.225776399481181,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.1215599698126386,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.01709401709402,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.84210526315789,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.077777777777783,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.453999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.555555555555557,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03944444444444439,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09499999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.8699955015744507,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}