Nikola Bartunkova vs Selena Janicijevic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola …: 65,8%
Selena …: 34,2%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,38
(+0,63)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikola … | Selena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 4,90 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,52 | 2,92 | 65,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikola …: -9,2%
Selena …: +9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Selena Janicijevic
Ranking
#223
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#321
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 95,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7540 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5619 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 256,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,8700 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0171 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,8421 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,8456 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,3111 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,0778 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0444 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,5222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,4540 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5711 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2258 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,1216 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0394 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0950 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,5556 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3953 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,3961 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22639
API ID
15345239
Gamdom ID
589568
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22639,
"api_id": 15345239,
"gamdom_id": 589568,
"player1": "Nikola Bartunkova",
"player2": "Selena Janicijevic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6581,
"prob_p2": 0.3419,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6581,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 223,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 321,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.99,
"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 321,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.39529411764705874,
"utr_diff": 0.6300000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 1.753968253968254,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 256,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.04444444444445139,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.396145610278379,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 27,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5618807945662748,
"rank_advantage": 95,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.555555555555557,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.522222222222226,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.845555555555556,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.4,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.311111111111117,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.571131243282679,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.225776399481181,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.1215599698126386,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.01709401709402,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.84210526315789,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.077777777777783,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.453999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.555555555555557,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03944444444444439,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09499999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.8699955015744507,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}