Tina Nadine Smith vs Cadence Brace
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cadence Brace
Tina …: 36,1% Cadence …: 63,9%
¿Por qué Cadence Brace?
UTR 11,31 vs 11,63 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tina … Cadence … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 2,60 1,53 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,77 1,56 36,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Tina …: +4,8% Cadence …: -4,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tina Nadine Smith
Ranking #334
UTR Rating 11,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #338
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Cadence Brace
Ranking #187
UTR Rating 11,63 General
UTR Ranking #223
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -144,0000
rank_ratio 0,5610
log_rank_ratio -0,5781
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -193,0000
best_rank_diff -84,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,6883
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,8364
surface_matches_ratio 0,6364
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 41,8182
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,2942
first_serve_won_diff -4,5740
second_serve_won_diff -1,7987
bp_saved_diff 4,7325
bp_converted_diff -0,1571
aces_per_match_diff -0,2338
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,4400
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,1941
serve_consistency_p2 5,4046
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,7568
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0726
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0985
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,3906
utr_p2 0,4306
utr_advantage -2,9591
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22641
API ID 15345621
Gamdom ID 589889
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22641,
    "api_id": 15345621,
    "gamdom_id": 589889,
    "player1": "Tina Nadine Smith",
    "player2": "Cadence Brace",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.51,
      "p2": 1.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3606,
    "prob_p2": 0.6394,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6394,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 334,
      "utr_singles": 11.31,
      "utr_ranking": 338,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 187,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 223,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.31,
      "ranking": 338,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 223,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5609756097560976,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -193,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.732467532467531,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": -2.9590948651000857,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -84,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.578077850775158,
    "rank_advantage": -144,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.688311688311686,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.15714285714285836,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.2941558441558456,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.23376623376623362,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.574025974025979,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.194057273735377,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.404602910115375,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.7567540999693785,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.81818181818181,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.798701298701296,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.439999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07257142857142856,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0985454545454546,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.8363636363636395,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}