Tina Nadine Smith vs Cadence Brace
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cadence Brace
Tina …: 36,1%
Cadence …: 63,9%
¿Por qué Cadence Brace?
UTR 11,31 vs 11,63
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tina … | Cadence … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,53 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,77 | 1,56 | 36,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tina …: +4,8%
Cadence …: -4,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tina Nadine Smith
Ranking
#334
UTR Rating
11,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#338
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Cadence Brace
Ranking
#187
UTR Rating
11,63 General
UTR Ranking
#223
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -144,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5610 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5781 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -193,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -84,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,6883 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,8364 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6364 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,8182 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,2942 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,5740 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7987 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,7325 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1571 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2338 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,4400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,1941 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4046 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,7568 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0726 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0985 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4306 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,9591 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22641
API ID
15345621
Gamdom ID
589889
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22641,
"api_id": 15345621,
"gamdom_id": 589889,
"player1": "Tina Nadine Smith",
"player2": "Cadence Brace",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3636363636363638
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.53
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.51,
"p2": 1.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3606,
"prob_p2": 0.6394,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6394,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 334,
"utr_singles": 11.31,
"utr_ranking": 338,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 187,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 223,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 338,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 223,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.5609756097560976,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -193,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.732467532467531,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": -2.9590948651000857,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -84,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.578077850775158,
"rank_advantage": -144,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.688311688311686,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.15714285714285836,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.2941558441558456,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.23376623376623362,
"combined_confidence": 0.42,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.574025974025979,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.194057273735377,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.404602910115375,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.7567540999693785,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.81818181818181,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.798701298701296,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.439999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07257142857142856,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0985454545454546,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.8363636363636395,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}