Zeynep Sonmez vs Laura Samson
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep …: 87,9% Laura …: 12,1%
¿Por qué Zeynep Sonmez?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zeynep … Laura … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,43 2,95 69,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,24 87,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Zeynep …: +29,0% Laura …: -29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Laura Samson
Ranking #205
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 91,0000
rank_ratio 1,8273
log_rank_ratio 0,6028
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 336,0000
best_rank_diff 132,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 48,4848
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,6334
surface_matches_ratio 16,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,1111
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,8861
first_serve_won_diff 16,4364
second_serve_won_diff 17,7818
bp_saved_diff 34,6515
bp_converted_diff -37,4909
aces_per_match_diff -0,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 38,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6019
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,3790
serve_consistency_p2 13,3668
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 29,2279
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1062
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4090
elite_surface_amplifier 48,4848
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4659
utr_p2 0,4659
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22642
API ID 15345327
Gamdom ID 589613
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22642,
    "api_id": 15345327,
    "gamdom_id": 589613,
    "player1": "Zeynep Sonmez",
    "player2": "Laura Samson",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8787,
    "prob_p2": 0.1213,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8787,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 205,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4658823529411766,
    "utr_p2": 0.4658823529411766,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8272727272727274,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 336,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 34.651515151515156,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 132,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6028245422666596,
    "rank_advantage": 91,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -37.490909090909085,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.886060606060603,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 16.436363636363637,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.378997686039937,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.366754130528767,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 29.22785659474713,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 17.78181818181818,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 16.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 38,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10615151515151511,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.40900000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.6334334334334328,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}