Zeynep Sonmez vs Laura Samson
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep …: 87,9%
Laura …: 12,1%
¿Por qué Zeynep Sonmez?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zeynep … | Laura … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,43 | 2,95 | 69,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 8,24 | 87,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zeynep …: +29,0%
Laura …: -29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Laura Samson
Ranking
#205
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 91,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8273 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6028 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 336,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 132,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,6334 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 16,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,8861 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 16,4364 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 17,7818 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 34,6515 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -37,4909 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6019 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3790 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,3668 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 29,2279 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1062 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 48,4848 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4659 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22642
API ID
15345327
Gamdom ID
589613
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22642,
"api_id": 15345327,
"gamdom_id": 589613,
"player1": "Zeynep Sonmez",
"player2": "Laura Samson",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.8
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8787,
"prob_p2": 0.1213,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8787,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 205,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4658823529411766,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.8272727272727274,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 336,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 34.651515151515156,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 132,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6028245422666596,
"rank_advantage": 91,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 48.484848484848484,
"bp_converted_diff": -37.490909090909085,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.886060606060603,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 16.436363636363637,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.378997686039937,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.366754130528767,
"surface_rank_synergy": 29.22785659474713,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 17.78181818181818,
"surface_matches_ratio": 16.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 48.484848484848484,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 38,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10615151515151511,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.40900000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.6334334334334328,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}