Bernarda Pera vs Viktoriya Tomova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoriya Tomova
Bernarda …: 35,3% Viktoriya …: 64,7%
¿Por qué Viktoriya Tomova?
UTR 11,77 vs 11,93 (-0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Bernarda … Viktoriya … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,28 1,66 43,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,83 1,55 35,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Bernarda …: -7,0% Viktoriya …: +7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Bernarda Pera
Ranking #171
UTR Rating 11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #167
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 10/21 = 47,6%
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -41,0000
rank_ratio 0,7574
log_rank_ratio -0,2779
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -151,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,6190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,4322
surface_matches_ratio 0,8400
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,6190
surface_wr_p2 44,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8276
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,2412
first_serve_won_diff 6,4286
second_serve_won_diff 5,5629
bp_saved_diff 1,9943
bp_converted_diff 6,3276
aces_per_match_diff 4,1790
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,4380
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 104,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6964
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5217
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 11,1041
serve_consistency_p2 4,0175
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,0056
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0172
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1010
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2100
utr_p1 0,4424
utr_p2 0,4671
utr_advantage -1,7699
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22643
API ID 15345329
Gamdom ID 589604
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22643,
    "api_id": 15345329,
    "gamdom_id": 589604,
    "player1": "Bernarda Pera",
    "player2": "Viktoriya Tomova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T01:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.66
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.22,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.353,
    "prob_p2": 0.647,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.647,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 171,
      "utr_singles": 11.77,
      "utr_ranking": 167,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.77,
      "ranking": 167,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44235294117647056,
    "utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": -0.21000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 0.757396449704142,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -151,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.9942857142857093,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -6.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.769911504424786,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2778684510034563,
    "rank_advantage": -41,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.6190476190476133,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.327619047619045,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.24123809523811,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6964285714285714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5217391304347826,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.179047619047619,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.428571428571438,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.104120798847132,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.017469697029484,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.005619156012507,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.562857142857148,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.84,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.437999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 104,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.017190476190476145,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10100000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.432183908045974,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}