Bernarda Pera vs Viktoriya Tomova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:20
12 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoriya Tomova
Bernarda …: 35,3%
Viktoriya …: 64,7%
¿Por qué Viktoriya Tomova?
UTR 11,77 vs 11,93
(-0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Bernarda … | Viktoriya … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,28 | 1,66 | 43,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,83 | 1,55 | 35,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Bernarda …: -7,0%
Viktoriya …: +7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Bernarda Pera
Ranking
#171
UTR Rating
11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#167
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
10/21 = 47,6%
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7574 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2779 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -151,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,6190 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,4322 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8400 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,8276 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,2412 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4286 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,5629 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9943 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,3276 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,1790 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,4380 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 104,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6964 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5217 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1041 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,0175 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,0056 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0172 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1010 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4671 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,7699 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22643
API ID
15345329
Gamdom ID
589604
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22643,
"api_id": 15345329,
"gamdom_id": 589604,
"player1": "Bernarda Pera",
"player2": "Viktoriya Tomova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T01:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.66
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.22,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.353,
"prob_p2": 0.647,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.647,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 171,
"utr_singles": 11.77,
"utr_ranking": 167,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 11.93,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.77,
"ranking": 167,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.93,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44235294117647056,
"utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_diff": -0.21000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 0.757396449704142,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -151,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.9942857142857093,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -6.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.769911504424786,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2778684510034563,
"rank_advantage": -41,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.6190476190476133,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.327619047619045,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.24123809523811,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6964285714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5217391304347826,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.179047619047619,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.428571428571438,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.104120798847132,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.017469697029484,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.005619156012507,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.562857142857148,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.84,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.437999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 104,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.017190476190476145,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10100000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.432183908045974,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}