Despina Papamichail vs Sachia Vickery
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Despina Papamichail
Despina …: 55,0% Sachia …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Despina Papamichail?
UTR 11,41 vs 10,58 (+0,79) — Niveles similares
Despina …
Sin datos
Sachia …
W6-L11
35% WR
vs UTR 11,2
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Despina … Sachia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,60 2,41 62,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Despina …: -13,7% Sachia …: +13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Despina Papamichail
Ranking #160
UTR Rating 11,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #300
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Sachia Vickery
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #716
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/10 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Despina Papamichail
Sin datos UTR v4
Sachia Vickery
Record 2025 6W - 11L (35%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,2
Últimos 5:
W L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 343,0000
rank_ratio 3,1847
log_rank_ratio 1,1584
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 445,0000
best_rank_diff 357,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,7733
surface_matches_ratio 0,1000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,3733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,7600
first_serve_won_diff -9,6000
second_serve_won_diff 2,8000
bp_saved_diff 12,9000
bp_converted_diff -33,8000
aces_per_match_diff -1,9000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 23,7840
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 36,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 91,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,2978
serve_consistency_p2 15,5605
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -57,9181
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,8430
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3430
elite_surface_amplifier -50,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7900
utr_p1 0,4035
utr_p2 0,3106
utr_advantage 7,1590
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22644
API ID 15345328
Gamdom ID 589593
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22644,
    "api_id": 15345328,
    "gamdom_id": 589593,
    "player1": "Despina Papamichail",
    "player2": "Sachia Vickery",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": 11.41,
      "utr_ranking": 300,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.58,
      "utr_ranking": 716,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 6,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.294117647058826,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.16,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.5,
          "opponent_name": "Kristina Novak"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.58,
          "opponent_name": "Elizabeth Mandlik"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.88,
          "opponent_name": "Ava Markham"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.5,
          "opponent_name": "Kristina Novak"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.23,
          "opponent_name": "Daniela Martinez Guerrero"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:26.047034+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.41,
      "ranking": 300,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.58,
      "ranking": 716,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40352941176470586,
    "utr_p2": 0.3105882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.7899999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 3.1847133757961785,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 445,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.899999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.159039420027178,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 357,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1583622930738837,
    "rank_advantage": 343,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -33.8,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.759999999999998,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.600000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.297829374251356,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.560549053865705,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -57.91811465369419,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.799999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 23.784000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -50.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 91,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.843,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.34299999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.773333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}