Laura Pigossi vs Lin Zhu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lin Zhu
Laura …: 33,2% Lin …: 66,8%
¿Por qué Lin Zhu?
UTR 11,54 vs 11,79 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Laura … Lin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,18 22,2%
Gamdom 4,40 1,23 22,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,01 1,50 33,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Laura …: +12,4% Lin …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laura Pigossi
Ranking #202
UTR Rating 11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #239
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/11 = 36,4%
Lin Zhu
Ranking #164
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -36,0000
rank_ratio 0,8182
log_rank_ratio -0,2007
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -69,0000
best_rank_diff -69,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,4935
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,0741
surface_matches_ratio 0,7857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 36,3636
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,4667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,3731
first_serve_won_diff -2,2727
second_serve_won_diff -10,5727
bp_saved_diff -1,8273
bp_converted_diff 7,1636
aces_per_match_diff -0,5325
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,5500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5484
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 12,3046
serve_consistency_p2 6,3676
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,3031
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1004
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1074
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,4153
utr_p2 0,4365
utr_advantage -1,5491
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22645
API ID 15345339
Gamdom ID 589583
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22645,
    "api_id": 15345339,
    "gamdom_id": 589583,
    "player1": "Laura Pigossi",
    "player2": "Lin Zhu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T01:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1818181818181819
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.4,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.46,
      "p2": 1.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3321,
    "prob_p2": 0.6679,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6679,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 202,
      "utr_singles": 11.54,
      "utr_ranking": 239,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 164,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.54,
      "ranking": 239,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.41529411764705876,
    "utr_p2": 0.4364705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -69,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.827272727272728,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 36.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -1.5490533562822846,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -69,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2006706954621511,
    "rank_advantage": -36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.493506493506487,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.163636363636357,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.373116883116879,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5324675324675323,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.2727272727272734,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.304583552608914,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.367553781313872,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.303056464039941,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.572727272727278,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7857142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.550000000000011,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10036363636363632,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10742857142857148,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.0740740740740735,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}