Laura Pigossi vs Lin Zhu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:05
12 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lin Zhu
Laura …: 33,2%
Lin …: 66,8%
¿Por qué Lin Zhu?
UTR 11,54 vs 11,79
(-0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Laura … | Lin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,18 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 4,40 | 1,23 | 22,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,01 | 1,50 | 33,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Laura …: +12,4%
Lin …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laura Pigossi
Ranking
#202
UTR Rating
11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#239
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/11 = 36,4%
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2007 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -69,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -69,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,4935 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,0741 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,3731 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2727 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,5727 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,8273 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,1636 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5325 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5484 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,3046 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3676 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3031 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1004 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1074 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5491 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22645
API ID
15345339
Gamdom ID
589583
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22645,
"api_id": 15345339,
"gamdom_id": 589583,
"player1": "Laura Pigossi",
"player2": "Lin Zhu",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T01:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1818181818181819
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.4,
"p2": 1.23
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.46,
"p2": 1.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3321,
"prob_p2": 0.6679,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6679,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 202,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 239,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 239,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4364705882352942,
"utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
"rank_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -69,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.827272727272728,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -1.5490533562822846,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -69,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2006706954621511,
"rank_advantage": -36,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.493506493506487,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.163636363636357,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.373116883116879,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5324675324675323,
"combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2727272727272734,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.304583552608914,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.367553781313872,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.303056464039941,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.572727272727278,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.550000000000011,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10036363636363632,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10742857142857148,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.0740740740740735,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}