Taylor Townsend vs Nao Hibino
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:20
12 Ene 2026, 08:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Townsend
Taylor …: 86,3%
Nao …: 13,7%
¿Por qué Taylor Townsend?
UTR 12,25 vs 11,69
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylor … | Nao … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 4,30 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,31 | 86,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Taylor …: +9,7%
Nao …: -9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Townsend
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/24 = 62,5%
Nao Hibino
Ranking
#204
UTR Rating
11,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#188
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
6/17 = 35,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7241 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5447 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 293,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 27,2059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,4563 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4118 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 35,2941 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 38,0952 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,4645 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0123 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,0110 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 74,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3704 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4315 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,0619 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,8198 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0410 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0631 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4341 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8414 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22648
API ID
15345347
Gamdom ID
589581
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22648,
"api_id": 15345347,
"gamdom_id": 589581,
"player1": "Taylor Townsend",
"player2": "Nao Hibino",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8632,
"prob_p2": 0.1368,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8632,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 204,
"utr_singles": 11.69,
"utr_ranking": 188,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 188,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4341176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.7241379310344827,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 293,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.699999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 35.294117647058826,
"utr_advantage": 4.841402337228715,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5447271754416719,
"rank_advantage": 84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 27.205882352941174,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.46450980392158,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.37037037037037035,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.012254901960785,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.600000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.431460321473549,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.061934756995,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.819783449516073,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.71428571428571,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.411764705882353,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.011,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 74,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.040999999999999925,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06305882352941167,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.456349206349202,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}