Taylor Townsend vs Nao Hibino
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Townsend
Taylor …: 86,3% Nao …: 13,7%
¿Por qué Taylor Townsend?
UTR 12,25 vs 11,69 (+0,58) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylor … Nao … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,24 4,30 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,31 86,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylor …: +9,7% Nao …: -9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Townsend
Ranking #116
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/24 = 62,5%
Nao Hibino
Ranking #204
UTR Rating 11,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #188
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 6/17 = 35,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 84,0000
rank_ratio 1,7241
log_rank_ratio 0,5447
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 293,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 27,2059
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,4563
surface_matches_ratio 1,4118
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 35,2941
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 38,0952
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,4645
first_serve_won_diff 10,6000
second_serve_won_diff 3,8000
bp_saved_diff 15,7000
bp_converted_diff -6,5000
aces_per_match_diff 4,0123
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 34,0110
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 90,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 74,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3704
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,4315
serve_consistency_p2 14,0619
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,8198
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0410
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0631
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,5024
utr_p2 0,4341
utr_advantage 4,8414
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22648
API ID 15345347
Gamdom ID 589581
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22648,
    "api_id": 15345347,
    "gamdom_id": 589581,
    "player1": "Taylor Townsend",
    "player2": "Nao Hibino",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8632,
    "prob_p2": 0.1368,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8632,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 116,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 204,
      "utr_singles": 11.69,
      "utr_ranking": 188,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.69,
      "ranking": 188,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.4341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7241379310344827,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 293,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 15.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 35.294117647058826,
    "utr_advantage": 4.841402337228715,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5447271754416719,
    "rank_advantage": 84,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 27.205882352941174,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.46450980392158,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.37037037037037035,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.012254901960785,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.600000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.431460321473549,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.061934756995,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.819783449516073,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.71428571428571,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.095238095238095,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.411764705882353,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 34.011,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 74,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.040999999999999925,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06305882352941167,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.456349206349202,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}