Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Kayla Cross
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:00
12 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Victoria …: 71,8%
Kayla …: 28,2%
¿Por qué Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Kayla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,65 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,39 | 3,55 | 71,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +14,2%
Kayla …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Ranking
#114
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Kayla Cross
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
11,49 General
UTR Ranking
#291
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 81,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7105 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5368 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 303,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 88,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,1724 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,0250 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,5079 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,9597 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,5379 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5138 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,4483 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,5724 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,1724 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -28,5540 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3548 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7911 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,7047 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,1446 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0293 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0190 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22649
API ID
15345497
Gamdom ID
589587
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22649,
"api_id": 15345497,
"gamdom_id": 589587,
"player1": "Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva",
"player2": "Kayla Cross",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7184,
"prob_p2": 0.2816,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7184,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 200,
"utr_singles": 11.49,
"utr_ranking": 291,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.49,
"ranking": 291,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.7105263157894737,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 303,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.448275862068968,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -38.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 88,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5368011101692514,
"rank_advantage": 81,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.172413793103445,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.5724137931034505,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.959655172413797,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3548387096774194,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.172413793103448,
"combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.53793103448276,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.791122673702552,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.704738374662382,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.144568568085191,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.507936507936506,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.513793103448279,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -28.554,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.029275862068965486,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.019000000000000017,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.025012025012021,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}