Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Kayla Cross
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Victoria …: 71,8% Kayla …: 28,2%
¿Por qué Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Kayla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,50 2,65 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,55 71,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +14,2% Kayla …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Ranking #114
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Kayla Cross
Ranking #200
UTR Rating 11,49 General
UTR Ranking #291
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 81,0000
rank_ratio 1,7105
log_rank_ratio 0,5368
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 303,0000
best_rank_diff 88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,1724
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,0250
surface_matches_ratio 5,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,1724
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,5079
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1034
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,6667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,9597
first_serve_won_diff -3,5379
second_serve_won_diff 0,5138
bp_saved_diff 1,4483
bp_converted_diff -7,5724
aces_per_match_diff -4,1724
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -28,5540
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3548
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7911
serve_consistency_p2 12,7047
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,1446
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0293
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0190
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4071
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22649
API ID 15345497
Gamdom ID 589587
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22649,
    "api_id": 15345497,
    "gamdom_id": 589587,
    "player1": "Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva",
    "player2": "Kayla Cross",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7184,
    "prob_p2": 0.2816,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7184,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 200,
      "utr_singles": 11.49,
      "utr_ranking": 291,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.49,
      "ranking": 291,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7105263157894737,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 303,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.448275862068968,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 88,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5368011101692514,
    "rank_advantage": 81,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.172413793103445,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.5724137931034505,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.959655172413797,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3548387096774194,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.172413793103448,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.53793103448276,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.791122673702552,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.704738374662382,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.144568568085191,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.507936507936506,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.513793103448279,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -28.554,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.029275862068965486,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.019000000000000017,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.025012025012021,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}