Viktoria Hruncakova vs Sada Nahimana
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:25
12 Ene 2026, 05:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoria Hruncakova
Viktoria …: 70,0%
Sada …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Viktoria Hruncakova?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Viktoria … | Sada … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,37 | 3,25 | 73,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,34 | 70,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Viktoria …: +14,3%
Sada …: -14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoria Hruncakova
Ranking
#220
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
29% (7p)
WR Hard
3/8 = 37,5%
Sada Nahimana
Ranking
#219
UTR Rating
11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#343
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9954 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0046 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 175,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,9150 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,7162 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 17,6750 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -36,2375 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 21,1250 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,3750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,0190 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 145,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,6554 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,7779 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1716 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1240 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5010 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3906 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22650
API ID
15345323
Gamdom ID
589609
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22650,
"api_id": 15345323,
"gamdom_id": 589609,
"player1": "Viktoria Hruncakova",
"player2": "Sada Nahimana",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T01:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 3.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7004,
"prob_p2": 0.2996,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7004,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 220,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 219,
"utr_singles": 11.3,
"utr_ranking": 343,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.3,
"ranking": 343,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3905882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.3905882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9954337899543378,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -1,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 21.125,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 175,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.004576667027411867,
"rank_advantage": -1,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.25,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.716249999999995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.375,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 17.674999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.65544784291963,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.77792928246549,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.171625013527945,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.833333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.375,
"second_serve_won_diff": -36.2375,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.0189999999999984,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 145,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.124,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.501,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9149999999999991,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}