Viktoria Hruncakova vs Sada Nahimana
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 05:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoria Hruncakova
Viktoria …: 70,0% Sada …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Viktoria Hruncakova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Viktoria … Sada … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,37 3,25 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,43 3,34 70,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Viktoria …: +14,3% Sada …: -14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoria Hruncakova
Ranking #220
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 29% (7p)
WR Hard 3/8 = 37,5%
Sada Nahimana
Ranking #219
UTR Rating 11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #343
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -1,0000
rank_ratio 0,9954
log_rank_ratio -0,0046
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -1,0000
best_rank_diff 175,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 37,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,9150
surface_matches_ratio 8,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,5000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,8333
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3750
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,7162
first_serve_won_diff 17,6750
second_serve_won_diff -36,2375
bp_saved_diff 21,1250
bp_converted_diff 6,2500
aces_per_match_diff 4,3750
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,0190
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 145,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,6554
serve_consistency_p2 14,7779
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1716
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1240
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5010
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3906
utr_p2 0,3906
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22650
API ID 15345323
Gamdom ID 589609
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22650,
    "api_id": 15345323,
    "gamdom_id": 589609,
    "player1": "Viktoria Hruncakova",
    "player2": "Sada Nahimana",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T01:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7004,
    "prob_p2": 0.2996,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7004,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 220,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 219,
      "utr_singles": 11.3,
      "utr_ranking": 343,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.3,
      "ranking": 343,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.3905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9954337899543378,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -1,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 21.125,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 175,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.004576667027411867,
    "rank_advantage": -1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 37.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.25,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.716249999999995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.375,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 17.674999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.65544784291963,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.77792928246549,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.171625013527945,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.833333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.375,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -36.2375,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.0189999999999984,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 145,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.124,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.501,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9149999999999991,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}