Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Alice Tubello
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Yuliia …: 82,5% Alice …: 17,5%
¿Por qué Yuliia Starodubtseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,50 (+0,34) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yuliia … Alice … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,16 5,60 86,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,21 5,72 82,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Yuliia …: +13,8% Alice …: -13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #106
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 10/27 = 37,0%
Alice Tubello
Ranking #435
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #259
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 320,0000
rank_ratio 3,8829
log_rank_ratio 1,3566
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 552,0000
best_rank_diff 156,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 37,0370
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 21,0572
surface_matches_ratio 27,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,0370
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 38,7097
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,6067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0500
first_serve_won_diff 8,3000
second_serve_won_diff -14,0000
bp_saved_diff 3,6000
bp_converted_diff -29,7000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39,2500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 370,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4333
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,1097
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 50,2436
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4496
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1800
elite_surface_amplifier 37,0370
UTR
utr_diff 0,3400
utr_p1 0,4541
utr_p2 0,4141
utr_advantage 2,9085
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22651
API ID 15345319
Gamdom ID 589611
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22651,
    "api_id": 15345319,
    "gamdom_id": 589611,
    "player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
    "player2": "Alice Tubello",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 5.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 5.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8252,
    "prob_p2": 0.1748,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8252,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 106,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 435,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 259,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 106,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 259,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
    "utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 3.8828828828828827,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 552,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.908468776732249,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 156,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3565778887914137,
    "rank_advantage": 320,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 37.03703703703704,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.699999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.05000000000000426,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.109738333754347,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 50.2436255107931,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -14.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 27.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 37.03703703703704,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 370,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.44962962962962966,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17999999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.05720430107527,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}