Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Alice Tubello
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Yuliia …: 82,5%
Alice …: 17,5%
¿Por qué Yuliia Starodubtseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,50
(+0,34)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuliia … | Alice … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,16 | 5,60 | 86,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,21 | 5,72 | 82,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yuliia …: +13,8%
Alice …: -13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
10/27 = 37,0%
Alice Tubello
Ranking
#435
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#259
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 320,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,8829 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3566 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 552,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 156,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 21,0572 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 27,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,7097 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -29,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 39,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 370,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,1097 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 50,2436 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4496 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1800 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 37,0370 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,9085 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22651
API ID
15345319
Gamdom ID
589611
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22651,
"api_id": 15345319,
"gamdom_id": 589611,
"player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"player2": "Alice Tubello",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 5.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.15,
"p2": 5.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8252,
"prob_p2": 0.1748,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8252,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 435,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 259,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 259,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
"utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 3.8828828828828827,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 552,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 2.908468776732249,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 156,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3565778887914137,
"rank_advantage": 320,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.03703703703704,
"bp_converted_diff": -29.699999999999996,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.05000000000000426,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.109738333754347,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 50.2436255107931,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 27.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 39.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 37.03703703703704,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 370,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.44962962962962966,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17999999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.05720430107527,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}