Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tatiana Prozorova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:05
12 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Andrea …: 25,5%
Tatiana …: 74,5%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Tatiana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 3,55 | 1,32 | 28,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,92 | 1,34 | 25,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Andrea …: -15,6%
Tatiana …: +15,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Ranking
#183
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking
#174
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0167 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0165 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,6081 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1818 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,9955 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2727 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,8150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 83,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9373 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6685 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,9016 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5030 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0485 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22652
API ID
15345314
Gamdom ID
589590
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22652,
"api_id": 15345314,
"gamdom_id": 589590,
"player1": "Andrea Lazaro Garcia",
"player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.55,
"p2": 1.32
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.47,
"p2": 1.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2551,
"prob_p2": 0.7449,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7449,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 183,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0166666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 4,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.399999999999991,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -29.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.016529301951210506,
"rank_advantage": 3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -54.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.1000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.9954545454545425,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.2727272727272727,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.699999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.93730785478834,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.66848623016248,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.9015982882478457,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.18181818181818182,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.814999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.503,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04845454545454542,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.608080808080809,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}