Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tatiana Prozorova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Andrea …: 25,5% Tatiana …: 74,5%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrea … Tatiana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 3,55 1,32 28,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,92 1,34 25,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Andrea …: -15,6% Tatiana …: +15,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Ranking #183
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking #174
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 3,0000
rank_ratio 1,0167
log_rank_ratio 0,0165
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 4,0000
best_rank_diff -34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -54,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,6081
surface_matches_ratio 0,1818
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 28,4848
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,3867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,9955
first_serve_won_diff -6,7000
second_serve_won_diff 3,0000
bp_saved_diff 9,4000
bp_converted_diff -3,1000
aces_per_match_diff -0,2727
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,8150
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 83,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,9373
serve_consistency_p2 7,6685
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,9016
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5030
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0485
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22652
API ID 15345314
Gamdom ID 589590
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22652,
    "api_id": 15345314,
    "gamdom_id": 589590,
    "player1": "Andrea Lazaro Garcia",
    "player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.55,
      "p2": 1.32
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.47,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2551,
    "prob_p2": 0.7449,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7449,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 183,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0166666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 4,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.399999999999991,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -29.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.016529301951210506,
    "rank_advantage": 3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -54.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.1000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.9954545454545425,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.2727272727272727,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.699999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.93730785478834,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.66848623016248,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.9015982882478457,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.18181818181818182,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.814999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.503,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04845454545454542,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.608080808080809,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}