Gabriela Knutson vs Lizette Cabrera
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:10
12 Ene 2026, 06:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gabriela Knutson
Gabriela …: 65,3%
Lizette …: 34,7%
¿Por qué Gabriela Knutson?
UTR 11,68 vs 11,22
(+0,52)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Gabriela … | Lizette … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,52 | 2,60 | 65,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,88 | 65,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Gabriela …: -5,6%
Lizette …: +5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking
#176
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#193
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Lizette Cabrera
Ranking
#276
UTR Rating
11,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#390
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 93,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5110 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4128 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 137,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -36,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,7500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,9722 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,9920 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 14,1400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14,2600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -31,5600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,6110 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,5595 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,5813 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,1915 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1930 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1570 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3694 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5614 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22653
API ID
15345356
Gamdom ID
589564
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22653,
"api_id": 15345356,
"gamdom_id": 589564,
"player1": "Gabriela Knutson",
"player2": "Lizette Cabrera",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.653,
"prob_p2": 0.347,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.653,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 176,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 193,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 276,
"utr_singles": 11.22,
"utr_ranking": 390,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 193,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.22,
"ranking": 390,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.43058823529411766,
"utr_p2": 0.36941176470588244,
"utr_diff": 0.5199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.510989010989011,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 137,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.999999999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.561403508771926,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -36,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4127644105897759,
"rank_advantage": 93,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -31.560000000000002,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.992000000000004,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 14.14,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.5595454015713712,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.581306676107063,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.191466158846639,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.97222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.259999999999998,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.61100000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19299999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15700000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.749999999999999,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}