Rebeka Masarova vs Alina Charaeva
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebeka Masarova
Rebeka …: 71,1% Alina …: 28,9%
¿Por qué Rebeka Masarova?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,61 (+0,58) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rebeka … Alina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,28 3,85 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,46 71,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Rebeka …: -5,5% Alina …: +5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebeka Masarova
Ranking #115
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #67
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking #163
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #212
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 5/11 = 45,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 45,0000
rank_ratio 1,3913
log_rank_ratio 0,3302
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 223,0000
best_rank_diff 80,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,7121
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,3040
surface_matches_ratio 2,1818
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,1667
surface_wr_p2 45,4545
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,6667
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,6233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,3542
first_serve_won_diff 6,4121
second_serve_won_diff 5,8977
bp_saved_diff 0,6485
bp_converted_diff -3,4197
aces_per_match_diff 3,1894
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,7450
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7619
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2857
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6753
serve_consistency_p2 6,4514
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,8771
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0033
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0005
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,4976
utr_p2 0,4294
utr_advantage 4,8576
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22656
API ID 15345343
Gamdom ID 589574
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22656,
    "api_id": 15345343,
    "gamdom_id": 589574,
    "player1": "Rebeka Masarova",
    "player2": "Alina Charaeva",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.68
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7107,
    "prob_p2": 0.2893,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7107,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 115,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 67,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 163,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 212,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 67,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 212,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.391304347826087,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 223,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.6484848484848484,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.45454545454545,
    "utr_advantage": 4.857621440536013,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 80,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3302416868705768,
    "rank_advantage": 45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.712121212121211,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.4196969696969646,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.354166666666671,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7619047619047619,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.18939393939394,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.412121212121214,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.675286053538802,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.451410133724554,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.877105605311843,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.8977272727272805,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1818181818181817,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.744999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0033333333333332993,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00045454545454554074,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.303968253968254,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}