Rebeka Masarova vs Alina Charaeva
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebeka Masarova
Rebeka …: 71,1%
Alina …: 28,9%
¿Por qué Rebeka Masarova?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,61
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebeka … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,28 | 3,85 | 78,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,46 | 71,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rebeka …: -5,5%
Alina …: +5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebeka Masarova
Ranking
#115
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#212
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
5/11 = 45,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3913 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3302 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 223,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 80,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,7121 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,3040 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1818 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,4545 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,3542 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4121 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,8977 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,6485 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4197 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,1894 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,7450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7619 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6753 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4514 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,8771 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0033 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0005 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8576 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22656
API ID
15345343
Gamdom ID
589574
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22656,
"api_id": 15345343,
"gamdom_id": 589574,
"player1": "Rebeka Masarova",
"player2": "Alina Charaeva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.68
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7107,
"prob_p2": 0.2893,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7107,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 115,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 67,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 212,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 67,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 212,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.391304347826087,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 223,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.6484848484848484,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.45454545454545,
"utr_advantage": 4.857621440536013,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 80,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3302416868705768,
"rank_advantage": 45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.712121212121211,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.4196969696969646,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.354166666666671,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7619047619047619,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.18939393939394,
"combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.412121212121214,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.675286053538802,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.451410133724554,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.877105605311843,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.8977272727272805,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1818181818181817,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.744999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0033333333333332993,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00045454545454554074,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.303968253968254,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}