Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Ksenia Efremova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:30
12 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 94,5%
Ksenia …: 5,5%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,27
(+0,90)
— Niveles similares
Aliaksandra …
Sin datos
Ksenia …
W71-L21
77% WR
vs UTR 10,5
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aliaksandra … | Ksenia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,14 | 6,20 | 87,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,06 | 18,28 | 94,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aliaksandra …: +17,9%
Ksenia …: -17,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Ksenia Efremova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,27 Junior
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
0% (4p)
Forma L10
0% (4p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Sin datos UTR v4
Ksenia Efremova
Record 2025
71W - 21L (77%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 387,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,4248 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4872 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 672,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 471,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 29,2686 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 31,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,7861 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,8613 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,6258 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,3419 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,2484 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,4839 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 57,7082 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 129,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5745 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,5645 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,2772 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 71,9623 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4031 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1130 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 48,3871 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3812 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,6989 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22658
API ID
15345622
Gamdom ID
589891
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22658,
"api_id": 15345622,
"gamdom_id": 589891,
"player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"player2": "Ksenia Efremova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.14,
"p2": 6.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 5.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9453,
"prob_p2": 0.0547,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9453,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.27,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 71,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.17391304347827,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.48,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.48,
"opponent_name": "Julieta PAREJA"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Oliwia SYBICKA"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Yu-Chen LIN"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Hollie Smart"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Andrea CABIO"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.431239+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.29,
"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.27,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.38117647058823534,
"utr_diff": 0.9000000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 4.424778761061947,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 672,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.34193548387097,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 7.698887938408899,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 471,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.487220279709851,
"rank_advantage": 387,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 48.38709677419355,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.248387096774195,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.78612903225806,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.4838709677419355,
"combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.861290322580643,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.564500992370721,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.277230832357095,
"surface_rank_synergy": 71.96227159886377,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.625806451612895,
"surface_matches_ratio": 31.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 57.70816326530614,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 48.38709677419355,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4031290322580645,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11299999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 29.268571428571427,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}