Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Ksenia Efremova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 94,5% Ksenia …: 5,5%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,27 (+0,90) — Niveles similares
Aliaksandra …
Sin datos
Ksenia …
W71-L21
77% WR
vs UTR 10,5
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aliaksandra … Ksenia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,14 6,20 87,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,06 18,28 94,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Aliaksandra …: +17,9% Ksenia …: -17,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Ksenia Efremova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,27 Junior
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 0% (4p)
Forma L10 0% (4p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Sin datos UTR v4
Ksenia Efremova
Record 2025 71W - 21L (77%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 387,0000
rank_ratio 4,4248
log_rank_ratio 1,4872
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 672,0000
best_rank_diff 471,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 48,3871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 29,2686
surface_matches_ratio 31,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,6567
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,7861
first_serve_won_diff 11,8613
second_serve_won_diff 9,6258
bp_saved_diff 9,3419
bp_converted_diff -7,2484
aces_per_match_diff 2,4839
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 57,7082
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 129,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5745
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,5645
serve_consistency_p2 1,2772
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 71,9623
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4031
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1130
elite_surface_amplifier 48,3871
UTR
utr_diff 0,9000
utr_p1 0,4871
utr_p2 0,3812
utr_advantage 7,6989
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22658
API ID 15345622
Gamdom ID 589891
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22658,
    "api_id": 15345622,
    "gamdom_id": 589891,
    "player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "player2": "Ksenia Efremova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 6.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9453,
    "prob_p2": 0.0547,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9453,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 42,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.27,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 71,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.17391304347827,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.48,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.48,
          "opponent_name": "Julieta PAREJA"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliwia SYBICKA"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yu-Chen LIN"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hollie Smart"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea CABIO"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.431239+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 42,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.27,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.38117647058823534,
    "utr_diff": 0.9000000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 4.424778761061947,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 672,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.34193548387097,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 60.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.698887938408899,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 471,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.487220279709851,
    "rank_advantage": 387,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 48.38709677419355,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.248387096774195,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.78612903225806,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.4838709677419355,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.861290322580643,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.564500992370721,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.277230832357095,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 71.96227159886377,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.625806451612895,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 31.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 57.70816326530614,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 48.38709677419355,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4031290322580645,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11299999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 29.268571428571427,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}