Kathinka von Deichmann vs Renee Alame
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kathinka von Deichmann
Kathinka …: 79,2% Renee …: 20,8%
¿Por qué Kathinka von Deichmann?
UTR 11,18 vs 10,00 (+1,26) — Ligera ventaja
Kathinka …
Sin datos
Renee …
W42-L28
60% WR
vs UTR 10,0
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kathinka … Renee … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,33 83,3%
Gamdom 1,21 4,70 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,26 4,81 79,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Kathinka …: +0,9% Renee …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kathinka von Deichmann
Ranking #258
UTR Rating 11,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #399
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Renee Alame
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kathinka von Deichmann
Sin datos UTR v4
Renee Alame
Record 2025 42W - 28L (60%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 240,0000
rank_ratio 1,9231
log_rank_ratio 0,6539
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 270,0000
best_rank_diff 347,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,9020
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 39,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 17,1900
first_serve_won_diff 6,4000
second_serve_won_diff 43,3000
bp_saved_diff 5,9000
bp_converted_diff -26,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,9926
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 34,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5365
serve_consistency_p2 3,8671
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,3482
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4900
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2600
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,2600
utr_p1 0,3835
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage 11,8532
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22659
API ID 15345333
Gamdom ID 589599
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22659,
    "api_id": 15345333,
    "gamdom_id": 589599,
    "player1": "Kathinka von Deichmann",
    "player2": "Renee Alame",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7922,
    "prob_p2": 0.2078,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7922,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 258,
      "utr_singles": 11.18,
      "utr_ranking": 399,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.03,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Noelia Manta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lucy King Oyebog Atang"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Fleur De Bresser"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.8,
          "opponent_name": "Annika Penickova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.75,
          "opponent_name": "Maia Ilinca Burcescu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:19.437647+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.18,
      "ranking": 399,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.38352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 1.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9230769230769231,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 270,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.899999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.853245531514581,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 347,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.653926467406664,
    "rank_advantage": 240,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -26.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 17.189999999999998,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.399999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.536451519570091,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.8671023965141593,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.348161685166602,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.705882352941174,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 43.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.9925714285714271,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.49,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.26,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.901960784313724,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}