Kathinka von Deichmann vs Renee Alame
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:25
12 Ene 2026, 08:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kathinka von Deichmann
Kathinka …: 79,2%
Renee …: 20,8%
¿Por qué Kathinka von Deichmann?
UTR 11,18 vs 10,00
(+1,26)
— Ligera ventaja
Kathinka …
Sin datos
Renee …
W42-L28
60% WR
vs UTR 10,0
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kathinka … | Renee … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,70 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,26 | 4,81 | 79,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kathinka …: +0,9%
Renee …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kathinka von Deichmann
Ranking
#258
UTR Rating
11,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#399
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Renee Alame
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kathinka von Deichmann
Sin datos UTR v4
Renee Alame
Record 2025
42W - 28L (60%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,0
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 240,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9231 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6539 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 270,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 347,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,9020 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 39,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 17,1900 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 43,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -26,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,9926 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 34,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5365 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,8671 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,3482 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4900 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2600 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | 11,8532 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22659
API ID
15345333
Gamdom ID
589599
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22659,
"api_id": 15345333,
"gamdom_id": 589599,
"player1": "Kathinka von Deichmann",
"player2": "Renee Alame",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7922,
"prob_p2": 0.2078,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7922,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 258,
"utr_singles": 11.18,
"utr_ranking": 399,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.03,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Noelia Manta"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Lucy King Oyebog Atang"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Fleur De Bresser"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.8,
"opponent_name": "Annika Penickova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.75,
"opponent_name": "Maia Ilinca Burcescu"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:19.437647+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.18,
"ranking": 399,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 57,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.38352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 1.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.9230769230769231,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 270,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 11.853245531514581,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 347,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.653926467406664,
"rank_advantage": 240,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -26.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 17.189999999999998,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.399999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.536451519570091,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.8671023965141593,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.348161685166602,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.705882352941174,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 43.3,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.9925714285714271,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.49,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.26,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.901960784313724,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}