Tereza Mrdeza vs Teodora Kostovic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Teodora Kostovic
Tereza …: 27,1% Teodora …: 72,9%
¿Por qué Teodora Kostovic?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tereza … Teodora … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 16,00 1,02 6,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,70 1,37 27,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tereza Mrdeza
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #1646 General
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking #177
UTR Rating 11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #172
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -325,0000
rank_ratio 0,3500
log_rank_ratio -1,0498
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -392,0000
best_rank_diff -325,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,5867
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,3333
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -50,5100
first_serve_won_diff -62,9667
second_serve_won_diff -54,5333
bp_saved_diff -40,9000
bp_converted_diff -41,4333
aces_per_match_diff -1,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -15,2300
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 6,2633
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 34,9941
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4917
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4388
utr_p2 0,4388
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22661
API ID 15345338
Gamdom ID 589584
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22661,
    "api_id": 15345338,
    "gamdom_id": 589584,
    "player1": "Tereza Mrdeza",
    "player2": "Teodora Kostovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 16.0,
      "p2": 1.02
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 12.44,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2706,
    "prob_p2": 0.7294,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7294,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 1646,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": 11.74,
      "utr_ranking": 172,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 1646,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.74,
      "ranking": 172,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.35,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -392,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -40.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -325,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
    "rank_advantage": -325,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -41.43333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -50.51,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -62.96666666666667,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.2632644254512675,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 34.99407081662259,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.53333333333333,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.230000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17500000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4916666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5866666666666658,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}