Tereza Mrdeza vs Teodora Kostovic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:40
12 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Teodora Kostovic
Tereza …: 27,1%
Teodora …: 72,9%
¿Por qué Teodora Kostovic?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tereza … | Teodora … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 16,00 | 1,02 | 6,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,70 | 1,37 | 27,1% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tereza Mrdeza
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#1646 General
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking
#177
UTR Rating
11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#172
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -325,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -392,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -325,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,5867 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -50,5100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -62,9667 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -54,5333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -40,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -41,4333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,2300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2633 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 34,9941 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4917 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22661
API ID
15345338
Gamdom ID
589584
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22661,
"api_id": 15345338,
"gamdom_id": 589584,
"player1": "Tereza Mrdeza",
"player2": "Teodora Kostovic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 16.0,
"p2": 1.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 12.44,
"p2": 1.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2706,
"prob_p2": 0.7294,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7294,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 1646,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": 11.74,
"utr_ranking": 172,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 1646,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.74,
"ranking": 172,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.35,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -392,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -40.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -325,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
"rank_advantage": -325,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -41.43333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -50.51,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -62.96666666666667,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.2632644254512675,
"surface_rank_synergy": 34.99407081662259,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -54.53333333333333,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.230000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17500000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4916666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5866666666666658,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}