Anastasia Gasanova vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 09:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Gasanova
Anastasia …: 51,5% Kaitlin …: 48,5%
¿Por qué Anastasia Gasanova?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anastasia … Kaitlin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 2,23 1,69 44,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,94 2,06 51,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Anastasia …: +1,5% Kaitlin …: -1,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Gasanova
Ranking #213
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #198
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Kaitlin Quevedo
Ranking #129
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -71,0000
rank_ratio 0,6651
log_rank_ratio -0,4078
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -172,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 66,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,1968
surface_matches_ratio 3,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,8095
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 49,9000
first_serve_won_diff 64,9000
second_serve_won_diff 51,5000
bp_saved_diff 48,3000
bp_converted_diff 45,9000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,9500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,2231
serve_consistency_p2 10,3577
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -27,1884
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2377
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5710
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4294
utr_p2 0,4294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22662
API ID 15345317
Gamdom ID 589596
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22662,
    "api_id": 15345317,
    "gamdom_id": 589596,
    "player1": "Anastasia Gasanova",
    "player2": "Kaitlin Quevedo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T05:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.23,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.14,
      "p2": 1.67
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5147,
    "prob_p2": 0.4853,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5147,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 213,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 198,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 129,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 198,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6650943396226415,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -172,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 48.29999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.40782638429384416,
    "rank_advantage": -71,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666666,
    "bp_converted_diff": 45.9,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 49.900000000000006,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 64.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.22308909190628,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.357712612360384,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -27.188425619589605,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.950000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23766666666666647,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.571,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.196825396825392,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}