Anastasia Gasanova vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 09:50
12 Ene 2026, 09:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Gasanova
Anastasia …: 51,5%
Kaitlin …: 48,5%
¿Por qué Anastasia Gasanova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasia … | Kaitlin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,23 | 1,69 | 44,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,94 | 2,06 | 51,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anastasia …: +1,5%
Kaitlin …: -1,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Gasanova
Ranking
#213
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Kaitlin Quevedo
Ranking
#129
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -71,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6651 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4078 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -172,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,1968 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8095 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 49,9000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 64,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 51,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 48,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 45,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2231 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,3577 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -27,1884 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2377 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5710 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22662
API ID
15345317
Gamdom ID
589596
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22662,
"api_id": 15345317,
"gamdom_id": 589596,
"player1": "Anastasia Gasanova",
"player2": "Kaitlin Quevedo",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T05:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.23,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.14,
"p2": 1.67
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5147,
"prob_p2": 0.4853,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5147,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 213,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 129,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.6650943396226415,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -172,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 48.29999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.40782638429384416,
"rank_advantage": -71,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": 45.9,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 49.900000000000006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 64.9,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.22308909190628,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.357712612360384,
"surface_rank_synergy": -27.188425619589605,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 51.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.950000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23766666666666647,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.571,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.196825396825392,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}