Camilla Rosatello vs Justina Mikulskyte
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Justina Mikulskyte
Camilla …: 27,7% Justina …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Justina Mikulskyte?
UTR 11,08 vs 11,15 (-0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Camilla … Justina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,43 1,59 41,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,61 1,38 27,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Camilla …: -14,6% Justina …: +14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilla Rosatello
Ranking #226
UTR Rating 11,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #453
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Justina Mikulskyte
Ranking #217
UTR Rating 11,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #409
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1,0000
rank_ratio 1,0047
log_rank_ratio 0,0046
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 2,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,5037
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,9524
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,5556
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,5100
first_serve_won_diff 0,1000
second_serve_won_diff -25,2000
bp_saved_diff 20,8500
bp_converted_diff -31,4000
aces_per_match_diff 2,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,9560
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 102,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,8656
serve_consistency_p2 8,6495
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,2320
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5010
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0010
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,3671
utr_p2 0,3682
utr_advantage -0,0899
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22664
API ID 15345318
Gamdom ID 589603
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22664,
    "api_id": 15345318,
    "gamdom_id": 589603,
    "player1": "Camilla Rosatello",
    "player2": "Justina Mikulskyte",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.43,
      "p2": 1.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.36,
      "p2": 1.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2772,
    "prob_p2": 0.7228,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7228,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 226,
      "utr_singles": 11.08,
      "utr_ranking": 453,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 217,
      "utr_singles": 11.15,
      "utr_ranking": 409,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.08,
      "ranking": 453,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.15,
      "ranking": 409,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.36705882352941166,
    "utr_p2": 0.36823529411764716,
    "utr_diff": -0.010000000000001563,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0046511627906978,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 2,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.85,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.08988764044945226,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.004640379556502301,
    "rank_advantage": 1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -31.400000000000002,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.509999999999998,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.09999999999999432,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.865578777216111,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.64945517847922,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.23201897782511505,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.95238095238095,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -25.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.956000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 102,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.501,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0010000000000000009,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.5037037037037053,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}