Sinja Kraus vs Lina Gjorcheska
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:50
12 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 77,7%
Lina …: 22,3%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,65
(+0,21)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sinja … | Lina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 3,40 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,48 | 77,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sinja …: +15,2%
Lina …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#154
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Lina Gjorcheska
Ranking
#206
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#200
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 94,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8704 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6261 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 356,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 65,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,4711 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 54,0788 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 63,5750 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 47,6375 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 51,7750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 43,4250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,2610 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 81,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,1414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5681 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 31,3068 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0940 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4060 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 50,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4259 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7910 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22666
API ID
15345315
Gamdom ID
589592
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22666,
"api_id": 15345315,
"gamdom_id": 589592,
"player1": "Sinja Kraus",
"player2": "Lina Gjorcheska",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T06:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.21
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7769,
"prob_p2": 0.2231,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7769,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 154,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 206,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 200,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.81,
"ranking": 154,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 200,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4505882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.4258823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 1.8703703703703705,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 356,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 51.775,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 1.7910447761194104,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 65,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6261364702769852,
"rank_advantage": 94,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 43.425,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 54.07875,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 63.575,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.1413626817120726,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.568144015256365,
"surface_rank_synergy": 31.30682351384926,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 47.6375,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.260999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 50.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 81,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09399999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.406,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.4711111111111094,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}