Sinja Kraus vs Lina Gjorcheska
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 77,7% Lina …: 22,3%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,65 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sinja … Lina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,34 3,40 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,48 77,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Sinja …: +15,2% Lina …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #154
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/8 = 50,0%
Lina Gjorcheska
Ranking #206
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #200
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 94,0000
rank_ratio 1,8704
log_rank_ratio 0,6261
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 356,0000
best_rank_diff 65,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,4711
surface_matches_ratio 8,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 54,0788
first_serve_won_diff 63,5750
second_serve_won_diff 47,6375
bp_saved_diff 51,7750
bp_converted_diff 43,4250
aces_per_match_diff 4,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,2610
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 81,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,1414
serve_consistency_p2 4,5681
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 31,3068
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0940
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4060
elite_surface_amplifier 50,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,4506
utr_p2 0,4259
utr_advantage 1,7910
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22666
API ID 15345315
Gamdom ID 589592
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22666,
    "api_id": 15345315,
    "gamdom_id": 589592,
    "player1": "Sinja Kraus",
    "player2": "Lina Gjorcheska",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T06:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7769,
    "prob_p2": 0.2231,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7769,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 154,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 206,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 200,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.81,
      "ranking": 154,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 200,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4505882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.4258823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8703703703703705,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 356,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 51.775,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.7910447761194104,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 65,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6261364702769852,
    "rank_advantage": 94,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 43.425,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 54.07875,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 63.575,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.1413626817120726,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.568144015256365,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 31.30682351384926,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 47.6375,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.260999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 50.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 81,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09399999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.406,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.4711111111111094,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}