Tamara Zidansek vs Jessika Ponchet
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 10:05
12 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 69,7%
Jessika …: 30,3%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 11,72
(+0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Jessika … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,53 | 2,60 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,30 | 69,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +10,9%
Jessika …: -10,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Jessika Ponchet
Ranking
#166
UTR Rating
11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#177
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/15 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0513 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0500 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 21,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 82,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,2989 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,1053 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,5988 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1850 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,6350 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 23,0400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 46,9550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9917 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6619 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,1252 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2706 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22667
API ID
15345316
Gamdom ID
589612
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22667,
"api_id": 15345316,
"gamdom_id": 589612,
"player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
"player2": "Jessika Ponchet",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T06:05:32+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 3.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6973,
"prob_p2": 0.3027,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6973,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 166,
"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 177,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.72,
"ranking": 177,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 1.0512820512820513,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 21,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.634999999999991,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.2706480304955559,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 82,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.050010420574661416,
"rank_advantage": 8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 23.04,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.5988333333333316,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0666666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.21999999999999886,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.991749767728537,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.661944393207529,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.1252344629298818,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1850000000000023,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 46.955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11699999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09199999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.298947368421055,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}