Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Magda Linette
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
14 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Oksana …: 60,4% Magda …: 39,6%
¿Por qué Oksana Selekhmeteva?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,11 (-0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Oksana … Magda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 1,87 1,98 53,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,66 2,53 60,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Oksana …: +20,7% Magda …: -20,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking #101
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 9/13 = 69,2%
Magda Linette
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #75
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -48,0000
rank_ratio 0,5200
log_rank_ratio -0,6539
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -323,0000
best_rank_diff -77,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,8437
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,8857
surface_matches_ratio 0,4194
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,2308
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3846
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,3294
first_serve_won_diff -0,3903
second_serve_won_diff 7,9355
bp_saved_diff -4,4355
bp_converted_diff 1,6581
aces_per_match_diff -0,9280
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 26,8210
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8451
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8333
serve_consistency_p1 9,4956
serve_consistency_p2 6,4181
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13,6302
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2403
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0641
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,4741
utr_p2 0,4859
utr_advantage -0,8278
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22668
API ID 15345844
Gamdom ID 590005
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22668,
    "api_id": 15345844,
    "gamdom_id": 590005,
    "player1": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
    "player2": "Magda Linette",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.98
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.85,
      "p2": 1.94
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6041,
    "prob_p2": 0.3959,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6041,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 101,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 75,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 75,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
    "utr_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "rank_ratio": 0.52,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -323,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.435483870967744,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.23076923076923,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": -0.8278145695364355,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -77,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6539264674066639,
    "rank_advantage": -48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.843672456575675,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6580645161290235,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.329404466501245,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37777777777777777,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8450704225352113,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9280397022332507,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.39032258064516157,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.49555969493328,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.4180644744732,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.630229097310112,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.935483870967744,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.41935483870967744,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.821000000000012,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24030769230769233,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06412903225806454,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.885714285714286,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}