Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Magda Linette
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
14 Ene 2026, 06:30
14 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Oksana …: 60,4%
Magda …: 39,6%
¿Por qué Oksana Selekhmeteva?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,11
(-0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Oksana … | Magda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,87 | 1,98 | 53,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,66 | 2,53 | 60,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Oksana …: +20,7%
Magda …: -20,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking
#101
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
9/13 = 69,2%
Magda Linette
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6539 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -323,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -77,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,8437 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,8857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4194 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3846 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,3294 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3903 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,9355 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,4355 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6581 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9280 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,8210 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8451 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4956 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4181 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -13,6302 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2403 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0641 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,8278 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22668
API ID
15345844
Gamdom ID
590005
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22668,
"api_id": 15345844,
"gamdom_id": 590005,
"player1": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
"player2": "Magda Linette",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.98
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.85,
"p2": 1.94
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6041,
"prob_p2": 0.3959,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6041,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
"utr_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"rank_ratio": 0.52,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -323,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.435483870967744,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.23076923076923,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
"utr_advantage": -0.8278145695364355,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6539264674066639,
"rank_advantage": -48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.843672456575675,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6580645161290235,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.329404466501245,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37777777777777777,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8450704225352113,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9280397022332507,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.39032258064516157,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.49555969493328,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.4180644744732,
"surface_rank_synergy": -13.630229097310112,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.935483870967744,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.41935483870967744,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.821000000000012,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24030769230769233,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06412903225806454,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.885714285714286,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}