Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Alvaro …: 52,9% Thiago …: 47,1%
¿Por qué Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alvaro … Thiago … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 2,95 1,41 33,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,89 2,12 52,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Alvaro …: +21,7% Thiago …: -21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Ranking #195
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Ranking #217
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 1/6 = 16,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 23,0000
rank_ratio 1,1192
log_rank_ratio 0,1126
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 42,0000
best_rank_diff -117,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,1958
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 16,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,8947
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,7895
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -63,1967
first_serve_won_diff -73,9000
second_serve_won_diff -41,9333
bp_saved_diff -71,1667
bp_converted_diff -24,0167
aces_per_match_diff -6,8333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 27,6900
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 60,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 117,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,4889
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,6524
serve_consistency_p2 6,9768
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,8765
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5230
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3103
elite_surface_amplifier -16,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22671
API ID 15345403
Gamdom ID 589653
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22671,
    "api_id": 15345403,
    "gamdom_id": 589653,
    "player1": "Alvaro Guillen Meza",
    "player2": "Thiago Seyboth Wild",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.95,
      "p2": 1.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5291,
    "prob_p2": 0.4709,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5291,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 195,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 217,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1191709844559585,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 42,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -71.16666666666667,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 16.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -117,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.11258821877927944,
    "rank_advantage": 23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": -24.016666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -63.19666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.488888888888889,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.833333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -73.89999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.652383459828883,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.976752524185879,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.8764703129879903,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.89473684210527,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.78947368421053,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -41.93333333333333,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 27.690000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -16.666666666666664,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 117,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.523,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31033333333333335,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.195789473684211,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}