Daniel Elahi Galan vs Hugo Grenier
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:05
13 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Daniel …: 49,7%
Hugo …: 50,3%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,35 vs 14,50
(-0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,22 | 1,67 | 45,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,01 | 1,99 | 49,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daniel …: +5,5%
Hugo …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Elahi Galan
Ranking
#154
UTR Rating
14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#218
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Hugo Grenier
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
36/60 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1290 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1214 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 70,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,4545 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,3701 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,9327 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,6617 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,2417 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -17,9183 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3409 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,2940 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 117,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 59,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,4438 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7830 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,6620 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0255 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1200 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9709 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22677
API ID
15345379
Gamdom ID
589633
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22677,
"api_id": 15345379,
"gamdom_id": 589633,
"player1": "Daniel Elahi Galan",
"player2": "Hugo Grenier",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.22,
"p2": 1.67
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.18,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.497,
"prob_p2": 0.503,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.503,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 154,
"utr_singles": 14.35,
"utr_ranking": 218,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 14.5,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.35,
"ranking": 218,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.5,
"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 1.1290322580645162,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 70,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.241666666666667,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.9708737864077709,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 39,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.12136085700426753,
"rank_advantage": 20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.45454545454546,
"bp_converted_diff": -17.91833333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.93265151515152,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.340909090909091,
"combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.661666666666669,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.4437991684521503,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.782975708074045,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.6619683109323691,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4000000000000057,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.18333333333333332,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.293999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 117,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.025454545454545396,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.370138888888888,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}