Jason Kubler vs Harold Mayot
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jason Kubler
Jason …: 65,2% Harold …: 34,8%
¿Por qué Jason Kubler?
UTR 14,77 vs 14,42 (+0,29) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jason … Harold … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
Gamdom 1,97 1,85 50,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,87 65,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Jason …: +20,9% Harold …: -20,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jason Kubler
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/26 = 61,5%
Harold Mayot
Ranking #159
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #190
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,8698
log_rank_ratio -0,1395
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -40,0000
best_rank_diff 40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,5973
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,8772
surface_matches_ratio 0,7647
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,5385
surface_wr_p2 52,9412
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,5064
first_serve_won_diff 7,0824
second_serve_won_diff 2,8706
bp_saved_diff -5,2706
bp_converted_diff 10,5059
aces_per_match_diff 2,5520
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,0950
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 104,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 72,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3636
serve_consistency_p1 10,7259
serve_consistency_p2 7,5667
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,1993
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1404
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0044
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,7600
utr_advantage 1,9856
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22681
API ID 15345360
Gamdom ID 589630
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22681,
    "api_id": 15345360,
    "gamdom_id": 589630,
    "player1": "Jason Kubler",
    "player2": "Harold Mayot",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.97,
      "p2": 1.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.91,
      "p2": 1.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6518,
    "prob_p2": 0.3482,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6518,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 159,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 190,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 190,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7600000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.28999999999999915,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8697916666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -40,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.270588235294113,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.94117647058824,
    "utr_advantage": 1.985621362547067,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13950155961102648,
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.597285067873301,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.505882352941178,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.506425339366523,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5520361990950224,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.0823529411764525,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.725863178004122,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.566695116420804,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.1993346753889151,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8705882352941288,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7647058823529411,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.095000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 104,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14038461538461544,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.004411764705882337,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.877192982456144,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}