Jason Kubler vs Harold Mayot
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 07:00
13 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jason Kubler
Jason …: 65,2%
Harold …: 34,8%
¿Por qué Jason Kubler?
UTR 14,77 vs 14,42
(+0,29)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jason … | Harold … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,97 | 1,85 | 50,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,87 | 65,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jason …: +20,9%
Harold …: -20,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jason Kubler
Ranking
#194
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/26 = 61,5%
Harold Mayot
Ranking
#159
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8698 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1395 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -40,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,5973 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,8772 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7647 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,5064 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,0824 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8706 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,2706 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,5059 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5520 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,0950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 104,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3636 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7259 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5667 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,1993 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1404 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0044 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7600 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9856 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22681
API ID
15345360
Gamdom ID
589630
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22681,
"api_id": 15345360,
"gamdom_id": 589630,
"player1": "Jason Kubler",
"player2": "Harold Mayot",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.97,
"p2": 1.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.91,
"p2": 1.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6518,
"prob_p2": 0.3482,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6518,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 194,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 159,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 190,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.77,
"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.42,
"ranking": 190,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.7600000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.28999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 0.8697916666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -40,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.270588235294113,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.94117647058824,
"utr_advantage": 1.985621362547067,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13950155961102648,
"rank_advantage": -25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.597285067873301,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.505882352941178,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.506425339366523,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5520361990950224,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.0823529411764525,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.725863178004122,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.566695116420804,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.1993346753889151,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.8705882352941288,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7647058823529411,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.095000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 104,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14038461538461544,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.004411764705882337,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.877192982456144,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}