Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Jurij Rodionov
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 09:20
13 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jurij Rodionov
Juan …: 38,2%
Jurij …: 61,8%
¿Por qué Jurij Rodionov?
UTR 14,16 vs 14,34
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Jurij … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,25 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,35 | 1,33 | 29,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,62 | 1,62 | 38,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: +13,2%
Jurij …: -13,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Ranking
#161
UTR Rating
14,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#304
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/10 = 50,0%
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking
#167
UTR Rating
14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#223
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
19/32 = 59,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2264 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2041 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 65,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,3750 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,9722 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3125 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,8716 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,9250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,0719 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,2719 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -18,2656 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5938 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,7760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 111,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 84,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4522 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4940 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,9134 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0360 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1298 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1228 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22682
API ID
15345400
Gamdom ID
589634
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22682,
"api_id": 15345400,
"gamdom_id": 589634,
"player1": "Juan Pablo Ficovich",
"player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T05:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.35,
"p2": 1.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.23,
"p2": 1.32
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3824,
"prob_p2": 0.6176,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6176,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 161,
"utr_singles": 14.16,
"utr_ranking": 304,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 167,
"utr_singles": 14.34,
"utr_ranking": 223,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.375,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.16,
"ranking": 304,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.34,
"ranking": 223,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7258823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.2264150943396226,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 65,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.2718750000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.375,
"utr_advantage": -1.1228070175438607,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -38,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.20409535634351522,
"rank_advantage": 36,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.375,
"bp_converted_diff": -18.265625,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.871562499999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.59375,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.924999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.45219760969008,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.494036945424169,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.9133939657204553,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.071874999999991,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.776,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 111,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 84,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03600000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12975000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.972222222222224,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}