Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Jurij Rodionov
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jurij Rodionov
Juan …: 38,2% Jurij …: 61,8%
¿Por qué Jurij Rodionov?
UTR 14,16 vs 14,34 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Jurij … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,35 1,33 29,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,62 1,62 38,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: +13,2% Jurij …: -13,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Ranking #161
UTR Rating 14,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #304
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/10 = 50,0%
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking #167
UTR Rating 14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #223
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 19/32 = 59,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 36,0000
rank_ratio 1,2264
log_rank_ratio 0,2041
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 65,0000
best_rank_diff -38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,3750
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,9722
surface_matches_ratio 0,3125
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 59,3750
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,3333
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,8716
first_serve_won_diff -3,9250
second_serve_won_diff -9,0719
bp_saved_diff -1,2719
bp_converted_diff -18,2656
aces_per_match_diff -2,5938
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,7760
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 111,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 84,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 6,4522
serve_consistency_p2 8,4940
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,9134
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1298
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,7259
utr_p2 0,7447
utr_advantage -1,1228
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22682
API ID 15345400
Gamdom ID 589634
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22682,
    "api_id": 15345400,
    "gamdom_id": 589634,
    "player1": "Juan Pablo Ficovich",
    "player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T05:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.35,
      "p2": 1.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.23,
      "p2": 1.32
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3824,
    "prob_p2": 0.6176,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6176,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 161,
      "utr_singles": 14.16,
      "utr_ranking": 304,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 167,
      "utr_singles": 14.34,
      "utr_ranking": 223,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.375,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.16,
      "ranking": 304,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.34,
      "ranking": 223,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7258823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2264150943396226,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 65,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.2718750000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.375,
    "utr_advantage": -1.1228070175438607,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.20409535634351522,
    "rank_advantage": 36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.375,
    "bp_converted_diff": -18.265625,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.871562499999996,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.59375,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.924999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.45219760969008,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.494036945424169,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.9133939657204553,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.071874999999991,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.776,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 111,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 84,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03600000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12975000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.972222222222224,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}