Kimmer Coppejans vs Kei Nishikori
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 08:05
13 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kei Nishikori
Kimmer …: 29,4%
Kei …: 70,6%
¿Por qué Kei Nishikori?
UTR 14,29 vs 14,68
(-0,76)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimmer … | Kei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,55 | 1,52 | 39,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,41 | 1,42 | 29,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimmer …: -6,1%
Kei …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimmer Coppejans
Ranking
#252
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#240
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/27 = 59,3%
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
14,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/19 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9675 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0331 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -14,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -93,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,3645 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,1828 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4211 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,2593 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,0645 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,5217 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1852 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,2738 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,3435 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6579 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,2692 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,9906 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5497 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,2810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 67,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 157,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1279 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,1573 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1032 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0451 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1006 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0709 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,2090 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22683
API ID
15345394
Gamdom ID
589651
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22683,
"api_id": 15345394,
"gamdom_id": 589651,
"player1": "Kimmer Coppejans",
"player2": "Kei Nishikori",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T04:05:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.52
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.45,
"p2": 1.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2936,
"prob_p2": 0.7064,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7064,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 252,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 240,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.25925925925925,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 240,
"utr_singles": 14.68,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 240,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.68,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7305882352941178,
"utr_p2": 0.8200000000000001,
"utr_diff": -0.7599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.967479674796748,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -14,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.2692007797270932,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.25925925925925,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
"utr_advantage": -5.209047292666209,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -93,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.033060862260888065,
"rank_advantage": -8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.3645224171539851,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.990643274853802,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.27378167641325,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.127906976744186,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5497076023391814,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.3434697855750386,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18518518518518517,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.157253528371635,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.103164366197512,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.04511228768542195,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.06451612903226,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.52173913043478,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.6578947368421026,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4210526315789473,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.280999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 157,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10059259259259257,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07094736842105265,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.1827956989247361,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}