Lloyd Harris vs Federico Cinà
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:05
13 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lloyd Harris
Lloyd …: 51,9%
Federico …: 48,1%
¿Por qué Lloyd Harris?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lloyd … | Federico … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,52 | 2,55 | 65,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,92 | 2,08 | 51,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lloyd …: -14,3%
Federico …: +14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lloyd Harris
Ranking
#221
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#73
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Federico Cinà
Ranking
#237
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/17 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0617 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 16,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 171,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,1912 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,0595 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9412 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,3810 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18,4653 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,7176 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,3647 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,9176 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,4632 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35,5950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 117,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 69,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 19,0695 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7392 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,5670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0765 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0434 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22685
API ID
15345420
Gamdom ID
589679
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22685,
"api_id": 15345420,
"gamdom_id": 589679,
"player1": "Lloyd Harris",
"player2": "Federico Cin\u00e0",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.65,
"p2": 1.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5195,
"prob_p2": 0.4805,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5195,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 221,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 73,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 237,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.15,
"ranking": 73,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0636363636363637,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 16,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.3647058823529292,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 38.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.94117647058824,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 171,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.06169356900533996,
"rank_advantage": 14,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.191176470588239,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.917647058823533,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.465294117647062,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7023809523809523,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.463235294117647,
"combined_confidence": 0.55,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.717647058823545,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 19.06951718850524,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.739198004462968,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.5670364798284925,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095239,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.599999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9411764705882353,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.595000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 117,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07650000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04341176470588237,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.059523809523813,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}