Lloyd Harris vs Federico Cinà
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lloyd Harris
Lloyd …: 51,9% Federico …: 48,1%
¿Por qué Lloyd Harris?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lloyd … Federico … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,52 2,55 65,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,92 2,08 51,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Lloyd …: -14,3% Federico …: +14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lloyd Harris
Ranking #221
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #73
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Federico Cinà
Ranking #237
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 9/17 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 14,0000
rank_ratio 1,0636
log_rank_ratio 0,0617
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 16,0000
best_rank_diff 171,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,1912
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,0595
surface_matches_ratio 0,9412
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,7500
surface_wr_p2 52,9412
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,3810
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,5500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 18,4653
first_serve_won_diff 7,7176
second_serve_won_diff 5,6000
bp_saved_diff 1,3647
bp_converted_diff -14,9176
aces_per_match_diff 6,4632
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,5950
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 117,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 69,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7024
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 19,0695
serve_consistency_p2 6,7392
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,5670
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0765
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0434
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8412
utr_p2 0,8412
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22685
API ID 15345420
Gamdom ID 589679
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22685,
    "api_id": 15345420,
    "gamdom_id": 589679,
    "player1": "Lloyd Harris",
    "player2": "Federico Cin\u00e0",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T06:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.65,
      "p2": 1.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5195,
    "prob_p2": 0.4805,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5195,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 221,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 73,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 237,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 73,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0636363636363637,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 16,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3647058823529292,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.94117647058824,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 171,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.06169356900533996,
    "rank_advantage": 14,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.191176470588239,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.917647058823533,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 18.465294117647062,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7023809523809523,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.463235294117647,
    "combined_confidence": 0.55,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.717647058823545,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 19.06951718850524,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.739198004462968,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.5670364798284925,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095239,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.599999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9411764705882353,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.595000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 117,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07650000000000001,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04341176470588237,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.059523809523813,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}