Moerani Bouzige vs Liam Draxl
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:20
13 Ene 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Moerani …: 33,4%
Liam …: 66,6%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 13,52 vs 14,24
(-0,80)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Moerani … | Liam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,00 | 1,13 | 16,7% |
| Gamdom | 6,60 | 1,11 | 15,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,99 | 1,50 | 33,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Moerani …: +17,6%
Liam …: -17,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Moerani Bouzige
Ranking
#469
UTR Rating
13,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#679
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
15/35 = 42,9%
Liam Draxl
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#263
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
35/56 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -353,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2722 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3013 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -372,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -201,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,6429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,0769 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,5897 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,7566 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,6554 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,0464 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,8482 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,7089 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3714 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 134,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 93,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7647 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,8442 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,8673 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,5622 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2816 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2280 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,7430 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22688
API ID
15345361
Gamdom ID
589632
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22688,
"api_id": 15345361,
"gamdom_id": 589632,
"player1": "Moerani Bouzige",
"player2": "Liam Draxl",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.0,
"p2": 1.125
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 6.6,
"p2": 1.11
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.21,
"p2": 1.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3341,
"prob_p2": 0.6659,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6659,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 469,
"utr_singles": 13.52,
"utr_ranking": 679,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 263,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.52,
"ranking": 679,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 263,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6505882352941176,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_diff": -0.8000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.2721649484536082,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -372,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.8482142857142847,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -5.743000717875095,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -201,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3013469683511125,
"rank_advantage": -353,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.642857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.708928571428565,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.756607142857135,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.3714285714285714,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.6553571428571416,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.8442374726191213,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.8673123421082063,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.562172592611144,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.58974358974359,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.66666666666667,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.046428571428578,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.9499999999999957,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 134,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 93,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.28157142857142853,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22799999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.07692307692308,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}