Moerani Bouzige vs Liam Draxl
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Moerani …: 33,4% Liam …: 66,6%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 13,52 vs 14,24 (-0,80) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Moerani … Liam … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,00 1,13 16,7%
Gamdom 6,60 1,11 15,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,99 1,50 33,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Moerani …: +17,6% Liam …: -17,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Moerani Bouzige
Ranking #469
UTR Rating 13,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #679
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 15/35 = 42,9%
Liam Draxl
Ranking #145
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #263
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 35/56 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -353,0000
rank_ratio 0,2722
log_rank_ratio -1,3013
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -372,0000
best_rank_diff -201,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,6429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,0769
surface_matches_ratio 0,6250
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,5897
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,6667
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,7566
first_serve_won_diff 1,6554
second_serve_won_diff -6,0464
bp_saved_diff 2,8482
bp_converted_diff -8,7089
aces_per_match_diff 2,3714
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,9500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 134,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 93,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7647
serve_consistency_p1 2,8442
serve_consistency_p2 2,8673
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,5622
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2816
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2280
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8000
utr_p1 0,6506
utr_p2 0,7447
utr_advantage -5,7430
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22688
API ID 15345361
Gamdom ID 589632
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22688,
    "api_id": 15345361,
    "gamdom_id": 589632,
    "player1": "Moerani Bouzige",
    "player2": "Liam Draxl",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T06:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.0,
      "p2": 1.125
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 6.6,
      "p2": 1.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.21,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3341,
    "prob_p2": 0.6659,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6659,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 469,
      "utr_singles": 13.52,
      "utr_ranking": 679,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 145,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 263,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.52,
      "ranking": 679,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 263,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6505882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.8000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2721649484536082,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -372,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.8482142857142847,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -5.743000717875095,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -201,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3013469683511125,
    "rank_advantage": -353,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.642857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.708928571428565,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.756607142857135,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3714285714285714,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.6553571428571416,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.8442374726191213,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.8673123421082063,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.562172592611144,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.58974358974359,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.66666666666667,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.046428571428578,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.9499999999999957,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 134,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 93,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.28157142857142853,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22799999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.07692307692308,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}